Broker reveals which ASX stocks are rate-cut winners

Macquarie is tipping three further interest rate cuts in July, August, and November.

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered its second 0.25% interest rate cut for 2025 this week.

Macquarie says there are more interest rate cuts to come and is tipping three further reductions in July, August, and November.

The broker has released a note revealing its favoured 'rate-cut basket' of ASX stocks.

These are the ASX stocks it expects to outperform amid continual interest rate cuts over the next year.

So, which ones are they?

Which ASX stocks have benefitted since February?

Macquarie reviewed the performance of ASX stocks since the first interest rate cut in February.

The broker found defensive ASX stocks had outperformed.

Macquarie commented:

Defensive sectors have outperformed by >10ppts since the RBA's first cut, led by Gold, Telecom, Insurance and Utilities.

Defensives usually outperform after cuts, as both are driven by growth risks, but some outperformance has been given back since the tariff pauses.

Staples Retail outperformed +7% and remains the most consistent rate-cut winner, with Cyclical Retail (+8%) slightly ahead.

Looking ahead, Macquarie has outperform ratings on several ASX stocks across REITs, consumer, media, technology, and health.

Broker places outperform rating on these stocks

In the technology sector, Macquarie likes Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO), Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1), and NEXTDC Ltd (ASX: NXT) shares.

Yesterday, the Xero share price closed at $179.90, down 1%. Macquarie has a 12-month share price target of $204 on Xero shares.

The Megaport share price finished at $12.37, down 0.16%. The broker's price target is $14.30.

The NEXTDC share price closed at $12.97, down 2.48%. Macquarie has a price target of $21.20.

Among the ASX property stocks, Macquarie likes Mirvac Group (ASX: MGR) and Goodman Group (ASX: GMG).

The Mirvac Group share price finished at $2.29, down 1.29%. Macquarie's share price target is $2.56.

The Goodman Group share price closed 0.44% lower at $31.97. Macquarie has a target of $36.31.

In consumer retail, the broker is backing JB Hi-Fi Ltd (ASX: JBH), Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN), and Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV) shares.

The JB Hi-Fi share price closed at $106.93, down 0.7%. Macquarie has a 12-month share price target of $111 on JB Hi-Fi shares.

The Harvey Norman share price closed at $5.36, down 0.74%, versus the broker's price target of $5.50.

Lovisa shares finished trading at $27.79, down 0.57%. The broker's 12-month price target is $33.40.

In the staples sector, Macquarie likes Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) and Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) stocks.

The Coles share price closed at $21.77, down 0.05%. Macquarie has a 12-month share price target of $23.10 on Coles.

The Woolworths share price closed at $31.90, down 0.44%. Macquarie's price target is $33.60.

In the ASX communications space, the broker is backing News Corporation CDI (ASX: NWS) and SEEK Ltd (ASX: SEK) stocks.

The News Corporation share price closed 0.71% lower at $50.41. The broker's target is $58.

The Seek share price closed at $23.56, down 0.55% yesterday. The broker's price target is $26.75.

In the healthcare sector, Macquarie likes Resmed CDI (ASX: RMD).

Resmed stock was 1.06% weaker at $38.24 yesterday. The broker has a price target of $48.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group, Lovisa, Macquarie Group, Megaport, ResMed, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group, Harvey Norman, Macquarie Group, ResMed, and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Goodman Group, Jb Hi-Fi, and Lovisa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A group of people push and shove through the doors of a store, trying to beat the crowd.
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares highly recommended to buy: Experts

Are these two stocks the best buys on the ASX?

Read more »

Smiling couple sitting on a couch with laptops fist pump each other.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 55%

Brokers have good things to say about these shares.

Read more »

A little girl is about to launch down the slide with a blue sky and white clouds in the sky behind her.
Broker Notes

BHP vs. Fortescue shares: Goldman Sachs says 1 will rip and 1 will dip

Top broker Goldman Sachs upgraded its 12-month share price forecasts for BHP and Fortescue shares this week.

Read more »

Buy, hold, and sell ratings written on signs on a wooden pole.
Broker Notes

Brokers rate these 3 ASX shares as buys in January

These ASX shares have an exciting outlook according to experts.

Read more »

A young man sits at his desk working on his laptop with a big smile on his face.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

busy trader on the phone in front of board depicting asx share price risers and fallers
Resources Shares

Brokers issue new price targets on soaring ASX 200 mining shares

ASX 200 mining shares BHP, PLS Group, South32, and many others hit multi-year highs this week.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Why Bell Potter just upgraded this smashing ASX 200 stock

After rising over 100% in 12 months, Bell Potter believes there is more to come.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Catalyst Metals, NRW, and Paladin Energy shares

Let's see what analysts are saying about these ASX 200 shares.

Read more »