5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

Here's what to expect on the local market today.

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On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week with a small gain. The benchmark index rose 5 points to 9,010.9 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

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ASX 200 to edge lower

The Australian share market looks set for a subdued session on Tuesday following a soft night in Europe. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 4 points lower. Wall Street was closed for Labor Day, but in Europe the FTSE fell 0.1% and the DAX dropped 0.15%.

Shares going ex-dividend

Another group of ASX 200 shares will be going ex-dividend on Tuesday and could trade lower. This includes AUB Group Ltd (ASX: AUB), BlueScope Steel Ltd (ASX: BSL), Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN), News Corporation (ASX: NWS), and Smartgroup Corporation Ltd (ASX: SIQ). Mineral Resources will be rewarding its shareholders with a fully franked 83 cents per share dividend on 30 September.

Oil prices rise

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a good session on Tuesday after oil prices rose overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 1.3% to US$92.70 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 1.1% to US$97.314 a barrel. This was driven by a further escalation in US-Iran hostilities.

Gold price softens

ASX 200 gold shares Genesis Minerals Ltd (ASX: GMD) and Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) could have a soft session after the gold price dropped overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is down 0.55% to US$4,452 an ounce. The precious metal has come under pressure due to increasing US rate hike bets.

Buy Select Harvests shares

Select Harvests Ltd (ASX: SHV) shares could be undervalued according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the almond producer's shares with an improved price target of $6.05 (from $5.30). It said: "Almond prices are strengthening and the SHV share price has lagged this move, continuing to trade below its market backed asset value of ~$5.30ps. At spot almond price levels, we would estimate FY27e EPS in a range of 53-72¢ps based on production guidance comparable to FY26e (i.e. 28,000-31,000kt), a level materially higher than the current consensus EPS level of ~37¢ps."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Aub Group and Smartgroup. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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