5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Will the market start the week positively? Here's what you need to know.

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week in positive territory. The benchmark index rose 0.2% to 8,764.2 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

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ASX 200 expected to rise again

The Australian share market looks set for a positive start to the week despite weakness on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 16 points or 0.2% higher. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.1%, the S&P 500 edged lower, and the Nasdaq fell 0.25%.

Oil prices fall

ASX 200 energy shares such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a poor start to the week after oil prices tumbled on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 3.75% to US$69.23 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was down 4.3% to US$71.99 a barrel. However, reports of an escalation in US-Iran tensions could give oil a boost on Monday.

Buy Neuren shares

The team at Bell Potter thinks investors should be buying Neuren Pharmaceuticals Ltd (ASX: NEU) shares. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the pharmaceuticals company's shares with an improved price target of $23.50. The broker said: "At the latest closing price, we therefore see effectively zero implied value for NEU's second asset, which in itself would be a multi-billion-dollar value asset should it succeed in the Phase 3 trial. The Phase 3 remains in the early stages of recruitment, with results not expected until the end of CY27 at the very earliest (pending recruitment pace). We maintain our BUY recommendation and increase PT to $23.50."

Gold price rises

ASX 200 gold shares including Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a good start to the week after the gold price rose on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 1.2% to US$4,096.3 an ounce. This gain was driven by a weaker US dollar but couldn't stop gold from recording its fourth weekly loss in a row.

Shares going ex-dividend

A large group of shares are due to go ex-dividend on Monday and could trade lower. This includes APA Group (ASX: APA), Centuria Industrial REIT (ASX: CIP), Charter Hall Group (ASX: CHC), Dexus (ASX: DXS), Goodman Group (ASX: GMG), Mirvac Group (ASX: MGR), and Transurban Group (ASX: TCL). The latter will be rewarding its shareholders with a 35 cents per share final dividend on 18 August.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Goodman Group and Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group and Transurban Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Apa Group and Transurban Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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