5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

It looks set to be a poor session for Aussie investors.

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On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a subdued session and dropped into the red. The benchmark index fell 0.1% to 8,911.4 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

Man looking at his laptop and pondering data.

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ASX 200 expected to tumble

It looks set to be a poor session for Australian investors on Thursday following a tough night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 88 points or 1% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones fell 0.75%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.5%, and the Nasdaq was 0.65% lower.

ASX 200 shares going ex-dividend

A number of ASX 200 shares are going ex-dividend this morning and could trade lower. This includes appliance manufacturer Breville Group Ltd (ASX: BRG), fund manager Perpetual Ltd (ASX: PPT), copper producer Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR), and telco Spark New Zealand Ltd (ASX: SPK).

Oil prices jump again

ASX 200 energy shares Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have another positive session after oil prices jumped again overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 3.9% to US$96.67 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 3.8% to US$101.67 a barrel. Traders bid oil prices to a four-month high after fighting escalated in the Persian Gulf.

Elders downgraded

Elders Ltd (ASX: ELD) shares are close to being fully valued according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker downgraded the agribusiness company's shares to a hold rating (from buy) with an improved price target of $6.70. It said: "Following the recent recovery in the share price we are moving our rating from Buy to Hold. Investments in Delta and SYSMOD are the largest drivers of near term growth, however, we see the large livestock tailwinds the agency business has benefited from the past two years facing more difficult comparisons moving forward."

Gold price rises

It could be a decent day for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) on Thursday after the gold price edged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 0.2% to US$4,447.2 an ounce. This was driven by a softening US dollar.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Elders. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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