5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

Here's what to expect on the local market today.

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On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week in the red. The benchmark index dropped 0.5% to 8,927.7 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall again

The Australian share market looks set to fall on Tuesday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is poised to open the day 6 points or 0.1% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq were closed for the Labour Day holiday.

ASX 200 shares going ex-dividend

Another group of ASX 200 shares will be going ex-dividend on Tuesday and could trade lower. This includes regional bank Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN), metal detector company Codan Ltd (ASX: CDA), Bunnings owner Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), and supermarket giant Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW). The latter is paying its shareholders a fully franked 45 cents per share final dividend later this month on 26 September.

Oil prices rise

It could be a decent session for ASX 200 energy shares Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) after oil prices pushed higher overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 0.95% to US$64.61 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 1% to US$68.16 a barrel. Russian supply disruptions boosted prices.

Austal shares rated as a hold

High-flying Austal Ltd (ASX: ASB) shares are close to being fully valued according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its hold rating on the shipbuilder's shares with an improved price target of $8.00 (from $6.75). It said: "This was clearly an impressive result from ASB, who continues to execute efficiently on the significant volume of work won in recent years whilst simultaneously boosting its manufacturing capacity. Whilst we have a positive view on ASB and acknowledge its attractive growth profile, we are conscious the company trades at a material premium to its listed peers. As such, we retain our HOLD recommendation with an updated PT of $8.00."

Gold price rises

ASX 200 gold shares such as Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Ramelius Resources Ltd (ASX: RMS) could have a good session on Tuesday after the gold price pushed higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 0.85% to US$3,545.8 an ounce. Traders were bidding the precious metal higher on increased US rate cut bets.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Austal and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Bendigo And Adelaide Bank. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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