Which ASX lithium shares are rebounding on Thursday, and which are not?

Some analysts believe that there is an overabundance of lithium supply in the near to mid-term pipeline.

Scared looking people on a rollercoaster ride representing the volatile Mineral Resources share price in 2022

Image source: Getty Images

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Key points

  • Some, though not all, ASX lithium shares are rebounding today
  • The sector took a big hit yesterday following Goldman Sachs’ bearish outlook for lithium prices
  • Most analysts agree lithium demand will continue to increase strongly in the 2020s

ASX lithium shares took an absolute hammering yesterday.

And that's no hyperbole.

Having delivered some of the biggest gains on the index over the past 12 months, yesterday saw some leading ASX lithium shares lose almost a quarter of their value. And most every explorer and producer of the critical battery metal was down at least 10% by the closing bell.

Here's how some of the top ASX lithium shares fared:

  • Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) closed down 15.4%
  • IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO) closed down 12.7%
  • Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) closed down 22.4%
  • Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) closed down 19.1%
  • Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) closed down 20.8%
  • Lake Resources NL (ASX: LKE) closed down 12.9%
  • Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) closed down 13.3%

Why did ASX lithium shares get smashed yesterday?

If you missed the action yesterday, the rout among ASX lithium shares looks to have been spurred on two fronts.

First, Argentina – which has some of the world's largest lithium reserves – cited irregularities in lithium shipments over the past two years. The nation set a reference price for lithium carbonate exports of US$53 per kilogram.

Bearish sentiment on the mid-term outlook for lithium prices from Goldman Sachs also likely helped drive yesterday's selloff among ASX lithium shares.

The closely watched broker said that despite sharply increasing global demand for lithium, "We see the battery metals bull market as over for now."

Goldman said that too much investor money pouring into the sector has "generated an outsized supply response well ahead of the demand trend in focus. In this context, we see prices on a downward trajectory over the course of the next two years, with a sharp correction in lithium".

There may well be a third reason for yesterday's price falls, as reported by my Foolish colleague James.

As he noted, "Warren Buffett-backed electric vehicle company BYD is planning to buy six lithium mines in Africa." This has the potential to add yet more supply to a potentially oversupplied market over the medium term.

Bargain hunters swoop in

It's a decidedly different picture for ASX lithium shares today.

While the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 0.9%, all but one of the stocks named above are in the green as some bargain hunting looks to be taking place.

Here's how these lithium stocks are faring during mid-day trading today:

  • Allkem shares are up 1.9%
  • IGO shares are up 4.3%
  • Pilbara Minerals shares are up 1.7%
  • Liontown Resources shares are up 5.2%
  • Core Lithium shares are up 5.4%
  • Lake Resources shares are up 0.7%
  • Sayona Mining shares are down 4.1%

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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