How La Nina will create unexpected ASX stock winners and losers

The La Nina weather phenomenon will create several winners on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO). Some of these ASX stocks may not be what you expect.

2 street signs with winner and loser COVID recovery oil price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The La Nina weather phenomenon will create several winners on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (Index:^AXJO). Some of these ASX stocks may not be what you expect.

La Nina will bring cooler than average temperatures to the east coast of Australia and is expected to last till March 2021.

This means we can expect summer to be a wetter than normal season. This is welcomed relief for shareholders of drought-stricken agri-stocks.

Unexpected ASX stocks affected by La Nina

But these aren't the only ASX stocks affected from the La Nina weather phenomenon. Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) identified 49 ASX stocks that will be impacted in both a good and negative way.

"Cooler than average temperatures are also typical across most of mainland Australia south of the tropics between Jul-Dec," the broker.

"South East Asia also typically experiences higher than average rainfall. Conversely, drier than normal weather can be experienced in Argentina and southeastern China.

"La Niña can also bring drier and warmer conditions to the southern tier of the United States."

The ASX miners that may benefit from La Nina tailwind

Among the winners outside of the agriculture sector include the BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price.

This is because La Nina will bring heavier rainfall to Brazil and that could impede production at iron ore miner Vale SA. The Brazilian miner is already struggling to meet production targets due to COVID‐19, much to the benefit of Australia miners.

Our iron ore majors operate on the west coast of Australia, which won't be affected by the wetter conditions.

If Vale's operations are further impacted by La Nina, it won't only be BHP's and Rio Tinto's shareholders that will be smiling. The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price and Mount Gibson Iron Limited (ASX: MGX) share price are also set to benefit.

Cold weather beneficiaries

We can also expect to see winners emerge in the ASX energy sector, according to Macquarie. Of course, this assumes their operations aren't affected by floods.

"A colder winter will increase North Asia LNG demand," explained the broker.

"And a cooler Aussie summer means less work for heat exchangers and therefore tends to drive higher efficiency rates in LNG liquefaction facilities."

The winners in this instance include the Oil Search Limited (ASX: OSH) share price, Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) share price.

Washed up by La Nina

However, La Nina may also create losers on our market. One group are companies that supply or sell beverages here as cooler weather lowers demand for soft drinks and bottled water.

On that front, the Coca-Cola Amatil Ltd (ASX: CCL) share price, the Orora Ltd (ASX: ORA) share price and Ampol Ltd (ASX: ALD) share price could suffer.

Luckily for CCL shareholders, the takeover offer for the group will negate this risk (assuming the deal goes through).

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of BHP Billiton Limited and Rio Tinto Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Let's also take a look at what the various ASX sectors were doing this Wednesday.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A young women pumps her fists in excitement after seeing some good news on her laptop.
Share Gainers

Why Argosy Minerals, Immutep, Pointsbet, and Regis Resources shares are racing higher

These shares are having a strong session on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Cleanaway, Kogan, and Perpetual shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

Man looking at his grocery receipt, symbolising inflation.
Share Market News

Why the ASX 200 just crumbled on today's inflation print

ASX 200 investors are hitting the sell button following the latest Australian inflation news.

Read more »

man grimaces next to falling stock graph
Share Fallers

Why did this ASX 100 stock just crash 11%?

Cleanaway shares have been on a crazy roller-coaster over the past 24 hours.

Read more »

a man in a british union jack T shirt hurdles high into the air with london bridge visible in the background.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Nick Scali shares halted amid $60m capital raising and UK expansion news

This furniture retailer has its eyes on the UK furniture market.

Read more »