Gold stocks smashed again: Can they recover in 2015?

Gold miners tumble as the gleaming metal sinks

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The spot gold price tumbled US$21.30 on Friday to US1168 an ounce, and it's taking our gold miners with it today.

Oceanagold Corporation (ASX: OGC) has crashed down 13%, closely followed by Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) down 12.8%, Evolution FPO (ASX: EVN) 10.3%, Silver Lake Resources Limited (ASX: SLR) 9.8% and Medusa Mining Limited (ASX: MML) 9.2%.

Australia's largest gold miner, Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) hasn't been spared the carnage, losing 5.8% to trade at $9.74, while Kingsgate Consolidated Limited (ASX: KCN) is down 7.1% and Beadell Resources Ltd (ASX: BDR) a more palatable 2.5% to 19.5 cents.

It seems the falling gold price has been blamed on the collapse in oil prices. Lower oil prices are expected to contribute to deflation, reducing gold's appeal as an inflation hedge.

Oil prices have slumped by more than 30% in the past few months, accelerating in recent weeks as large oil producing countries decided not to cut back on production, to reduce supply and prompt a rise in the oil price.

Even the Australian dollar's fall to US 84.5 cents hasn't been enough to temper the selloff in Australian gold mining stocks. The equivalent gold price in Aussie dollar terms is A$1,382 an ounce, suggesting that even at today's prices, many will still be making decent profits.

Of course the market is forward looking and suspects that the gold price is likely to trend lower over time, suggesting times aren't about to get easier for gold miners in 2015.

With the US economic recovery underway, the US dollar is strengthening, which could put more downward pressure on gold prices and therefore the gold miners' share prices.

But many miners have already implemented hedging programs to protect the price they receive for gold, and the falling Aussie dollar certainly helps. They've also wised up in the past year or so, and rather than totally focusing on growing production, have been concentrating on cost cutting and mining their higher grade ores, which helps to lower production costs per ounce.

But with the potential for gold prices to fall further, they may have much more work to do, and are unlikely to see a substantial recovery in the year ahead.

As a result, I can't see any reason why anyone would want to invest in them, when there are plenty of other, better opportunities out there.

Motley Fool writer/analyst Mike King doesn't own shares in any companies mentioned. You can follow Mike on Twitter @TMFKinga

More on ⏸️ Investing

A white and black robot in the form of a human being stands in front of a green graphic holding a laptop and discussing robotics and automation ASX shares
Technology Shares

Joining the revolution: How I'd invest in ASX AI shares right now

Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could usher in a new industrial revolution. Here’s how you can invest in it.

Read more »

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »