5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

It looks set to be a decent start to the week for Aussie investors.

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week with a small gain. The benchmark index rose 0.15% to 8,787.7 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to rise

The Australian share market looks set for a good start to the week following a positive finish to the last one on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 21 points or 0.25% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.65%, the S&P 500 rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq pushed 0.45% higher.

Oil prices rise

It could be a decent start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices pushed higher on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 1.1% to US$65.72 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 1% to US$70.13 a barrel. This was driven by news of drone attacks hitting Russian supply.

ASX 200 shares going ex-dividend

A number of ASX 200 shares are going ex-dividend this morning and could trade lower. This includes a range of REITs such as Arena REIT (ASX: ARF), Centuria Industrial Reit (ASX: CIP), Charter Hall Social Infrastructure REIT (ASX: CQE), HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (ASX: HDN). In addition, gold miner Gold Road Resources Ltd (ASX: GOR) is going ex-dividend for a payout relating to its takeover.

Gold price rises again

ASX 200 gold shares including Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could start the week positively after the gold price pushed higher again on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 1% to US$3,809 an ounce. This was driven by the release of US inflation data which was supportive of further rate cuts.

Buy Premier shares

Premier Investments Ltd (ASX: PMV) shares are good value according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating and $26.50 price target on the Smiggle and Peter Alexander owner's shares. The broker said: "We view PMV as trading at a discount to our coverage, considering the Premier Retail division with two global roll-out worthy brands offering ~7% EBIT growth in FY26e and a P/E of ~12x excluding equity investments, land bank/cash while retaining a strong balance sheet supportive of M&A as attractive. Maintain BUY."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended HomeCo Daily Needs REIT and Premier Investments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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