S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) travel shares are having a lousy day today.
At the time of writing, the Qantas share price is down 5.1%, the Webjet share price is down 5.3%, and the Flight Centre share price is down a painful 6.7%.
The ASX 200 is also in the red, but ‘only’ down by 1.2%.
So what’s going on?
COVID variant hammers confidence in ASX 200 travel shares
ASX 200 travel shares, and indeed most risk-on assets, are taking a beating today on news of a new and potentially dangerous COVID variant.
The new variant – B.1.1.529 – emerged in South Africa where full vaccination rates remain below 40%. It’s believed the variant may have stemmed from an individual with HIV, according to Francois Balloux, director of the UCL Genetics Institute.
As Bloomberg reports, “The virus can linger for longer in people whose immune systems are compromised, potentially offering a bigger window for mutations.”
Of potential concern for the world’s reopening plans and investors in ASX 200 travel shares:
Scientists are still trying to determine whether the new variant … is more transmissible or more lethal than previous ones. What’s clear is that it has the most mutations of any strain yet identified.
Air travel restrictions rolled out
ASX 200 travel shares look to be getting sold off amid fears that initial travel restrictions just put in place overseas to mitigate the spread of the new variant may only be the tip of the iceberg.
Both the United Kingdom and Israel have already announced a temporary halt on flights from South Africa and 5 neighbouring nations.
Commenting on that move, the UK’s Health Secretary Sajid Javid said (quoted by Bloomberg): “As part of our close surveillance of variants across the world, we have become aware of the spread of a new potentially concerning variant.”
Travellers who do arrive from these nations will need to quarantine in hotels.
Unfortunately, as we came to see with the Delta variant, the genie may already be out of the bottle. Hong Kong has reported 2 travellers have tested positive for B.1.1.529, which has yet to receive its own Greek letter.
Certainly not the sort of news investors in ASX 200 travel shares hoping for a smooth reopening wanted to hear.
Don’t shoot the messenger!