Are ASX retail shares set for a Christmas bust?

ASX retailers may be having a Christmas bust as there are signs that people just brought their shopping forward.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There are signs that the ASX retail sector could be having a bit of a dull Christmas retail period after the exciting Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales almost a month ago.

According to reporting by the Australian Financial Review, retailers are cutting shifts for casual Christmas workers, "culling" staff and bringing forward Boxing Day discounts.

The cause of all this? Weaker sales than expected in December, probably because many people fulfilled their shopping needs after Black Friday and Cyber Monday.

Only a couple of weeks ago we learned that Harris Scarfe was going into receivership and planned to close 40% of its stores.

Department stores are retailers with some of the largest staff counts, though Myer Holdings Ltd (ASX: MYR) and Wesfarmers Ltd's (ASX: WES) Target both denied they had reduced staff in the week before Christmas, although Target said that stores manage their own rosters.

I wonder how David Jones, Wesfarmers' Kmart and Woolworths Group Ltd's (ASX: WOW) Big W are going during the Christmas shopping period.   

Gary Mortimer, senior lecturer at QUT Business School, said that for some retailers the six weeks to Christmas accounted for 60% of annual profits for some retailers, so it's very important to do well in this period.

You can imagine that Christmas is also an extremely important time for retailers like JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) with a focus on electronics.

As long as retailers still achieve overall growth between Black Friday and the Boxing Day sales, I don't think it truly matters when the sales happen in that month or two period, as long as they aren't too heavily discounted.

Foolish takeaway

Retail is a tough business, particularly when it comes to discretionary spending. If I had to buy a retailer I would rather invest in something like City Chic Collective Ltd (ASX: CCX) which is growing online and overseas.  

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Broker Notes

Why Bell Potter just upgraded this ASX All Ords share to a buy rating

The broker has turned bullish on this growing company. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says these ASX shares are best buys in January

The broker has good things to say about these shares.

Read more »

A woman stands at her desk looking a her phone with a panoramic view of the harbour bridge in the windows behind her with work colleagues in the background.
Share Market News

Should I invest $1,000 in the VGS ETF?

With $1,000 to invest, diversification matters. This Vanguard ETF provides instant exposure to global markets outside Australia.

Read more »

Close up of a sad young woman reading about declining share price on her phone.
Share Market News

These are the 10 most shorted ASX shares

Let's see which shares short sellers are targeting this week.

Read more »

ASX board.
Best Shares

The best and worst ASX sectors of the past 12 months

A wide gap opened between the best and worst ASX sectors over the past 12 months.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

A soft start to the week is expected for Aussie investors.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Want to build up passive income? These 2 ASX dividend shares are a buy!

These stocks are giving investors exciting payouts every year.

Read more »