5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP), NEXTDC Ltd (ASX:NXT), and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX:RIO) shares will be on watch on Thursday. Here's what you need to know…

a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Wednesday the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) returned to form and pushed 0.75% higher to 6,245.6 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch.

ASX futures pointing higher.

According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day higher on Thursday. Current futures contracts are pointing to the index opening the day up 0.2% or 12 points. This is despite it being a disappointing night of trade on Wall Street, which late in the session sees the Dow Jones down 0.4%, the S&P 500 off 0.5%, and the Nasdaq 0.7% lower.

Oil prices mixed.

Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) shares will be on watch on Thursday after oil prices had a mixed night of trade. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price has fallen 0.6% to US$56.24 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price has pushed 0.2% higher to US$66.01 a barrel. The catalyst for the weakness in the WTI price was a rise in U.S. stockpiles.

Rio Tinto shares to slide lower.

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price is expected to be a major drag on the market today when its shares trade ex-dividend for the mining giant's final and special dividends. Rio Tinto is paying shareholders a 180 U.S. cents (256 Australian cents) per share final dividend and a 243 U.S. cents (345 Australian cents) per share special dividend. This could mean its shares trade around 6.2% lower today. BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares are also trading ex-dividend today.

Shares going ex-dividend.

BHP and Rio Tinto aren't the only shares trading ex-dividend this morning. Also trading without the rights to their latest dividends are the shares of Australian stock exchange operator ASX Ltd (ASX: ASX), corporate travel specialist Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD), mining services company Monadelphous Group Limited (ASX: MND), insurance giant QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE), mining giant South32 Ltd (ASX: S32), and wine giant Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE).

NEXTDC blames algorithmic trading for decline.

The NEXTDC Ltd (ASX: NXT) share price will be on watch on Thursday after the data centre operator's CEO, Craig Scroggie, blamed the rise of algorithmic trading for its 11% decline since the release of its results. According to the AFR, Mr Scroggie also advised that major shareholders agree that the share-price movement did not reflect their sentiments about the company.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro owns shares of NEXTDC Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Corporate Travel Management Limited and Treasury Wine Estates Limited. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of ASX Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man pulls a shocked expression with mouth wide open as he holds up his laptop.
Broker Notes

Why this beaten down ASX 200 stock could rise 50%

This stock could be dirt cheap according to analysts at Bell Potter.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Share Market News

4 pros and cons of buying the Vanguard Australian Shares ETF (VAS) in 2026!

This popular ETF isn't a slam dunk...

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Why 4DMedical, Regis Resources, Unico Silver, and WiseTech Global shares are pushing higher

These shares are having a good time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Bellevue Gold, Harvey Norman, Karoon Energy, and Westpac shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

woman testing substance in laboratory dish, csl share price
Share Market News

After a 73% surge this ASX healthcare share looks far from done

Brokers are upbeat, and some see possible gains of 90% in 2026.

Read more »

A man in his 30s with a clipped beard sits at his laptop on a desk with one finger to the side of his face and his chin resting on his thumb as he looks concerned while staring at his computer screen.
Share Market News

Magellan Financial Group dips as AUM slips in December quarter

Magellan Financial Group's AUM declined to $39.9 billion at December 2025, with net outflows for the quarter.

Read more »

Man presses green buy button and red sell button on a graph.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A stressed businessman sits next to his briefcase with his head in his hands, while the ASX boards behind him show shares crashing.
Share Market News

1 move to avoid at all costs if the stock market crashes in 2026

Volatility is inevitable in markets. The real danger comes from how investors respond when fear takes over.

Read more »