Why the Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price is rallying as sales growth hits a 2-year low

Sales at Woolworths Group Ltd's (ASX: WOW) supermarket division may have slowed significantly but this isn't the time to get bearish on the stock. Here's why…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

a woman

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price jumped this morning even after the retailing group posted its quarterly update that showed sales growth at its supermarket division falling to a two-year low.

But don't get too bearish on the stock. Shares in Woolworths gained 1.1% to $28.71 as the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index inched up 0.2% in early trade.

Comparable sales at Woolies supermarkets improved 1.8% in the September quarter (1.9% overall) over the same period last year.

This is a significant slowdown compared to 4.9% growth in the September 2018 quarter and the 5.1% growth that Coles delivered in the latest quarter.

Investors should take a glass half-full view of the results though. The slowdown at Woolies was expected given Cole's highly effective Little Shop sales campaign, the impact of the removal of single-use plastic bags and ongoing food price deflation.

What's encouraging is that Woolies has regained market share lost to Coles since the Little Shop promotion ended and that the drop in the growth rate is still better than what most analysts were expecting.

The average prices of groceries (excluding tobacco) may have fallen 2.5% in the latest quarter but it's better than the 4% drop experienced a year ago. Food price deflation will probably moderate even more over the coming periods as the price of a range of groceries have recently increased due to the drought.

The other piece of news that I think is more significant is sales at its Big W department store. Comparable sales at Big W jumped 2.2% (1.3% overall) for the quarter and that will be welcomed news given that the business has been a real dog.

To be fair, it isn't the only retailer that's been under the pump. Wesfarmers' Target chain is also a pain in the posterior for management and we don't really need to talk about the collapse in Myer Holdings Ltd's (ASX: MYR) share price or Lovisa Holdings Ltd's (ASX: LOV) share price.

This doesn't mean Big W is out of the woods but at least it isn't sliding backwards in the face of increasing online competition.

The divestment of Woolworths' petrol business is progressing, and the higher petrol price has bolstered comparable sales of this division by 8.1%.

The group's other businesses such as Hotels, its liquor retailing business and its New Zealand food division all reported growth as well.

Woolworth's gain is Wesfarmers Ltd's (ASX: WES) pain. Wesfarmers' share price fell 0.5% to $46.41 at the time of writing.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

A neon sign says 'Top Ten'.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors ended the trading week on a sour note.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why EOS, Megaport, Racura, and Xero shares are racing higher today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Hands reaching high for a trophy with a sunset in the background.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks storming higher in this week's slumping market

Investors sent these three ASX 200 shares flying higher in this week’s falling market. But why?

Read more »

A graphic showing a businessman running up a white upwards rising arrow symbolising the soaring Magellan share price today
Gold

Up 572% in a year, why is this ASX 300 gold stock rocketing again on Friday?

This ASX gold stock has turned a $10,000 investment into $67,188 in one year. And it’s surging higher again today.

Read more »

A panel of four judges hold up cards all showing the perfect score of ten out of ten
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors shook off some nerves to send shares higher today.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Share Gainers

Why Codan, Medallion, Megaport, and Mineral 260 shares are storming higher today

These shares are having a better day than most on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

Two men celebrate while another holds his head in his hands, after watching the race.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a strange day on the ASX.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Share Gainers

Why Arafura, Aristocrat, BHP, and Perenti shares are racing higher today

These shares are having a good session on hump day. What's going on?

Read more »