5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

It could be a big day for many Australians today. Here's what to expect.

On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week with a decline. The benchmark index fell 0.6% to 8,856.5 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

Mid-aged couple looking at a laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

ASX 200 expected to rebound

The Australian share market looks set for a good session on Tuesday despite a mixed start to the week in the United States. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 64 points or 0.7% higher. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, but the S&P 500 dropped 0.3% and the Nasdaq fell 0.75%.

RBA meeting

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will be meeting today to discuss interest rates. Unfortunately for borrowers, based on the latest RBA Rate Tracker, the market believes there is an 80% probability of a 0.25% increase to 4.85% today. The team at Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) agrees. In its latest Westpac Weekly economic report, chief economist, Luci Ellis, said: "Inflation is above target, and above what the RBA's August forecasts implied. Some upside risks identified in August have partially materialised, particularly energy prices. The RBA is especially worried that above-target inflation will become embedded in people's expectations and pricing decisions. It will therefore deem that further policy tightening is needed."

Oil prices crash

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a tough session after oil prices crashed overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 7.6% to US$96.20 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 8% to US$104.33 a barrel. This was driven by US-Iran peace talk optimism.

Accumulate ResMed shares

Morgans remains positive on ResMed Inc. (ASX: RMD) following its quarterly update. In response to the release, the broker has put an accumulate rating on its shares with a $40.00 price target. It said: "1Q27 was stronger than expected, supported by GM expansion and healthy underlying demand, but contained multiple non-recurring gains. Underlying product growth remains encouraging, with devices 9% and masks 10%, although ROW device growth benefited from France fleet renewals and US sales from strong demand ahead of price increases and volume-based rebates. Despite the strong start, FY27 guidance was reiterated, with management pointing to ongoing inflation, higher 2Q costs and moderating ROW device growth. We make modest adjustments to FY27-29 forecasts, with our target moving to A$40. Given the strong stock recovery and TSR <20%, we move to ACCUMULATE."

Gold price rises

ASX 200 gold shares including Genesis Minerals Ltd (ASX: GMD) and Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) could have a good session on Tuesday after the gold price pushed higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 1.35% to US$3,951.4 an ounce. Softer oil prices gave the precious metal a boost.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended ResMed. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ASX Share Market News

Woman holding her glasses and looking at her laptop.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: PLS Group, Woolworths, CSL shares

Let's check out some new ratings on these ASX 200 heavyweights.

Read more »

Business man marking buy on board and underlining it.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

Man smiling ahead while working on his MacBook.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Liontown, Suncorp, and Wesfarmers shares

Let's see what a leading broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »

US citizens voting in an election.
ASX Share Market News

How the US midterm elections could move 3 key types of ASX Stocks

And which election outcome has historically delivered better S&P 500 returns? The answer might surprise you.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
ASX Share Market News

These are the 10 most shorted ASX shares

Let's find out why short sellers have their eyes on these shares.

Read more »

Man analysing data on his laptop.
ASX Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Will the market start the week on a positive note? Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

Smiling man sits in front of a graph on computer while using his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Happy miner with his arms folded.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 mining shares rebounded while consumer stocks fell last week

US AI stocks led our ASX 200 miners higher while hot inflation data sent retail shares lower.

Read more »