5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

What should Aussie investors expect on the market today?

On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week with a small decline. The benchmark index edged 0.15% lower to 8,831 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements

Image source: Getty Images

ASX 200 to edge lower

The Australian share market looks set for a subdued session on Tuesday despite a positive start to the week on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 8 points or 0.1% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones rose 0.3%, the S&P 500 climbed 0.75%, and the Nasdaq stormed 1.1% higher.

Buy Genesis Minerals shares

Genesis Minerals Ltd (ASX: GMD) shares are good value according to Bell Potter. This morning, in response to a binding merger proposal with Vault Minerals Ltd (ASX: VAU), the broker has retained its buy rating on the gold miner's shares with a trimmed price target of $9.75. It said: "The Proposed Scheme is not subject to due diligence or financing conditions and offers a materially better strategic and financial outcome than the status quo, in our view. We retain our Buy rating and lower our price target to A$9.75, on account of the recent Magnetic Resources Limited transaction completion (A$639m). The Proposed Scheme has not been incorporated pending resolution of the RRL matching right."

Oil prices edge higher

ASX 200 energy shares including Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a positive session after oil prices pushed higher overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 0.05% to US$68.73 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 0.05% to US$72.15 a barrel. This is despite OPEC announcing plans to boost its output.

Gold price charges higher

It could be a good session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price charged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 1.2% to US$4,175.7 an ounce. Easing interest rate hike expectations boosted the precious metal.

Qantas shares on watch

Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) shares will be worth watching on Tuesday after UK airline easyJet received a US$7.3 billion takeover offer from U.S. private equity manager Castlelake. This represents a forward multiple of approximately 16.5x estimated 2027 earnings. Qantas shares are currently trading at a deep discount of around 10x estimated FY 2027 earnings.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ASX Share Market News

A man sits in casual clothes in front of a computer amid graphic images of data superimposed on the image, as though he is engaged in IT or hacking activities.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A woman crosses her hands in front of her body in a defensive stance indicating a trading halt.
ASX Share Market News

ASX 200 defensive sectors outperform amid volatile trading

Investors favoured utilities, healthcare, and ASX REITs last week.

Read more »

A man and woman sit next to each other looking at each other and feeling excited and surprised after reading good news about their shares on a laptop.
Opinions

Buy, hold, sell: BHP, Westpac, and Zip shares

I weigh up the outlook for three popular shares to see which ones I would buy today.

Read more »

Five young people sit in a row having fun and interacting with their mobile phones.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a happy end to the trading week this Friday.

Read more »

Female miner standing smiling in a mine.
Broker Notes

3 ASX mining shares with 43% to 322% upside ahead: brokers

The miners remain on an upward trajectory despite the broader market weakening in 2026.

Read more »

A woman stretches her arms into the sky as she rises above the crowd.
Broker Notes

9 ASX 200 shares upgraded by brokers this week

Brokers have increased their ratings on Northern Star, Challenger, Rio Tinto, and other stocks.

Read more »

Small kid giving a thumbs up.
Broker Notes

6 ASX shares to buy in today's weak market: experts

Brokers have reaffirmed their buy calls on Xero, NextDC, IAG, PLS, and other shares this week.

Read more »

A man stands at the bottom of a spiral staircase looking up.
Broker Notes

6 ASX shares downgraded by experts this week

Brokers reduced their ratings on AMP, SKS Technologies, Fortescue, and other stocks. 

Read more »