5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

Here's what to watch on the local market today.

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On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) fought hard and finished the day with a decent gain. The benchmark index rose 0.25% to 8,808.4 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

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ASX 200 expected to edge higher

It looks set to be a mildly positive session for Australian investors on Thursday after a mixed night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 9 points or 0.1% higher this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.35%, but the S&P 500 fell 0.1% and the Nasdaq tumbled 0.45%.

Buy Ioneer shares

Ioneer Ltd (ASX: INR) shares could be undervalued according to Bell Potter. In response to news of non-binding letters of intent with South Korean entities, the broker has retained its speculative buy rating on the ASX lithium stock with an improved price target of 40 cents. This is more than double its current share price. It said: "Rhyolite Ridge is strategically important as a fully permitted, near-term and US-located source of lithium and boron supply. Both lithium and boron are USGS-designated critical minerals. […]  Lithium markets have recently strengthened, and we expect continued growth in underlying demand and limited new sources of supply will support lithium chemicals prices over the medium to long term."

Oil prices sink

It could be a poor session for ASX 200 energy shares Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) after oil prices sank again overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 4.6% to US$69.82 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 5.15% to US$73.11 a barrel. This was driven by reports that tankers are successfully transiting through the Strait of Hormuz.

BHP and Rio Tinto shares on watch

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares could have a poor session on Thursday after their NYSE-listed shares dropped on Wall Street overnight. BHP shares were down almost 2% and Rio Tinto shares were down over 1.5%. This may have been driven by a pullback in commodity prices. This includes a 2.6% decline in the copper price to US$5.99 per pound.

Gold price tumbles

It could be a difficult session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) on Thursday after the gold price tumbled overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is down 3.35% to US$4,010.3 an ounce. The gold price hit a seven-month low on rising US interest rate hike bets.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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