The ASX 200 rebound has already faded. Here's why

The ASX 200 is struggling again.

After starting Friday with a decent lift, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has given back its early gains during afternoon trade.

At the time of writing, the ASX 200 is down 0.09% to 8,633 points.

The index is only down slightly, but it has moved around a lot today. It climbed as high as 8,691.9 points earlier in the day before falling as low as 8,610.3 points.

That leaves the ASX 200 tracking another soft finish in what has already been a difficult stretch for local shares.

Over the past month, the index has recorded just 5 sessions in the green, with the remaining days ending in the red.

So, what has caused the early buying to fade again?

Digital screen of stock exchange showing shares in the red.

Image source: Getty Images

Oil keeps investors nervous

Oil has been one of the main pressure points for the market today.

Brent crude futures pushed above US$106 a barrel as investors continued to watch the Strait of Hormuz and the risk of supply disruption.

Reuters reported that oil prices rose as concerns continued around security threats to shipping in the key waterway.

Trading Economics also showed Brent crude up more than 1%, with the oil price heading for a weekly gain of around 5%.

After a choppy month for the ASX 200, another jump in oil gives investors less reason to chase the early rebound.

Bank gains offset mining weakness

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) is up 2.64% to $160.55, which is giving the index some support after a rough week for the banks.

Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) is up 0.76% to $35.99, while National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) is 0.14% higher at $36.47.

ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) is also up 1.12% to $35.23, and Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) is 0.15% higher at $244.89.

Those gains are helping cushion the index, but the big miners are pulling in the other direction.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) is down 2.59% to $60.45, Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) is dipping 2.71% to $186.77, and Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) is sliding 2.20% to $22.49.

The market is still fragile

The ASX 200 is now down 0.93% in 2026 and 3.76% over the past month.

It is still up 4.05% over the past year, but that longer-term gain does not hide the recent weakness.

There have been a few rebounds along the way, but the market has struggled to hold them.

Today's early lift has yet again followed the same path, with buyers unable to hold the index higher by afternoon trade.

With oil, inflation worries, and heavyweight stocks still driving the daily moves, the market doesn't look settled yet.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Economy

Man holding graphic houses with dollar signs and graph points surrounding them.
Economy

How much further will house prices fall, according to AMP's chief economist?

There's no good news around house values for the foreseeable future.

Read more »

A businessman pushes a giant percentage sign down, indicating eforts to keep inflation in check
Economy

Inflation jumps back to 4%. Are more interest rate hikes coming?

Another inflation increase has put the RBA back in focus.

Read more »

Red percentage sign in front of a chart.
ASX Share Market News

ASX 200 slips as RBA boosts interest rates to 15-year highs

ASX investors and mortgage holders are now eyeing the highest interest rates in 15 years.

Read more »

Oil spelt out on block cubes with an up and down arrow.
Economy

Oil prices rise again as Middle East uncertainty keeps traders guessing

Oil prices are back on the move.

Read more »

A man stands in overalls and a hardhat with a clipboard in front of stacked black oil drums at an oil industry site.
Economy

Oil prices surge as Trump rejects Iran peace deal. What's next?

Could oil prices be heading for another major move?

Read more »

A man sits at his kitchen table reading the paper and drinking coffee as rain pours on him, while a woman stands with an umbrella over her head in the distant background.
Economy

Australia's recession risk hits 50% as RBA prepares to lift rates

Could further RBA rate hikes push the economy too far?

Read more »

A shocked man sits at his desk looking at his laptop while talking on his mobile phone with declining arrows in the background representing falling ASX 200 shares today
Economy

Could two more RBA rate hikes push Australia into recession?

One economist has issued a warning about our economic outlook.

Read more »

a man in a suit jacked sits uncomfortably with his hands clasped before his face in a job interview situation while sitting across from an interviewer
Economy

Unemployment hits 4.6%. Could the RBA hold off on another rate hike?

The RBA has plenty to consider ahead of next week's meeting.

Read more »