Inflation jumps back to 4%. Are more interest rate hikes coming?

Another inflation increase has put the RBA back in focus.

Inflation is back in focus on Wednesday after the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures were released.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) published its August inflation report this morning, giving investors plenty to digest.

The release comes just one day after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced its latest interest rate decision.

With inflation still a key concern for the central bank, today's numbers could play a part in where interest rates go next.

So, what did today's numbers reveal?

A businessman pushes a giant percentage sign down, indicating eforts to keep inflation in check

Image source: Getty Images

Inflation climbs back to 4%

The latest figures showed headline inflation rose 4% over the 12 months to August, up from 3.5% in July.

Consumer prices also increased 0.4% during August, although that climbed to 0.7% on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Transport prices were a big part of the increase, rising 4.2% during the month and 5.6% over the past year.

Much of that came from automotive fuel prices, which jumped 14.8% in August and were 13.5% higher than a year ago.

Housing costs also remained high, rising 5.7% over the past 12 months, while education prices increased 4.7% and health costs climbed 3.9%.

Meanwhile, the underlying inflation figures were more stable.

Trimmed mean inflation, which removes some of the more volatile price movements, remained unchanged at 3.6% annually.

It was up just 0.2% during August.

Are more interest rate hikes coming?

Today's inflation figures could give the RBA another reason to keep interest rates higher.

The central bank lifted the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60% yesterday, marking its fourth increase this year.

In its statement, the RBA said inflation remained too high and pointed to several risks that could keep prices elevated.

That included higher energy prices, continued capacity pressures in the economy, and businesses passing higher costs onto customers.

Today's figures show some of those pressures are still hanging around, particularly with fuel prices jumping during August.

However, the unchanged trimmed mean figure of 3.6% suggests underlying inflation hasn't moved higher.

The RBA has already made it clear that it is prepared to lift rates again if needed.

Foolish takeaway

From here, the next few inflation reports will be important.

Headline inflation is back at 4%, while underlying inflation remains above the RBA's 2% to 3% target range.

For me, that keeps another interest rate hike firmly on the table.

The RBA has already shown this year that it is prepared to lift rates if inflation remains too high.

If inflation stays around these levels, borrowers could be facing another interest rate hike over the coming months.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Economy

Red percentage sign in front of a chart.
ASX Share Market News

ASX 200 slips as RBA boosts interest rates to 15-year highs

ASX investors and mortgage holders are now eyeing the highest interest rates in 15 years.

Read more »

Oil spelt out on block cubes with an up and down arrow.
Economy

Oil prices rise again as Middle East uncertainty keeps traders guessing

Oil prices are back on the move.

Read more »

A man stands in overalls and a hardhat with a clipboard in front of stacked black oil drums at an oil industry site.
Economy

Oil prices surge as Trump rejects Iran peace deal. What's next?

Could oil prices be heading for another major move?

Read more »

A man sits at his kitchen table reading the paper and drinking coffee as rain pours on him, while a woman stands with an umbrella over her head in the distant background.
Economy

Australia's recession risk hits 50% as RBA prepares to lift rates

Could further RBA rate hikes push the economy too far?

Read more »

A shocked man sits at his desk looking at his laptop while talking on his mobile phone with declining arrows in the background representing falling ASX 200 shares today
Economy

Could two more RBA rate hikes push Australia into recession?

One economist has issued a warning about our economic outlook.

Read more »

a man in a suit jacked sits uncomfortably with his hands clasped before his face in a job interview situation while sitting across from an interviewer
Economy

Unemployment hits 4.6%. Could the RBA hold off on another rate hike?

The RBA has plenty to consider ahead of next week's meeting.

Read more »

Oil written on a chart with two people shaking hands.
Economy

Oil prices are climbing again. Could Brent crude hit US$110?

Oil prices are rising again.

Read more »

A bright graphic showing neon green and red arrows in a downwards direction with a world map behind them in neon blue.
Economy

ASX 200 claws back its early losses. What's moving the market?

The market has bounced back after a shaky start.

Read more »