5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Here's what to expect on the local market today.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a day to forget and finished the week deep in the red. The benchmark index sank 1.5% to 8,744.4 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

ASX 200 expected to fall again

The Australian share market looks set for a poor start to the week despite a strong finish on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 42 points or 0.5% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was largely flat, but the S&P 500 rose 0.85% and the Nasdaq stormed 1.7% higher.

Oil prices rise

ASX 200 energy shares including Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a decent session after oil prices rose on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 0.65% to US$95.42 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 1.2% to US$101.29 a barrel. Traders were buying oil amid doubts over the US-Iran peace deal.

ANZ shares going ex-dividend

ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares are going ex-dividend this morning and could trade lower. Last week, the big four bank released its half-year results and declared a partially franked interim dividend of 83 cents per share. This will be paid to eligible shareholders in around seven weeks on 1 July.

Gold price rises

ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a positive start to the week after the gold price pushed higher on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 0.4% to US$4,730.7 an ounce. Traders appear to believe gold has been oversold in recent weeks.

Buy REA Group shares

Bell Potter thinks REA Group Ltd (ASX: REA) shares are good value. In response to the property listings company's quarterly update, the broker has retained its buy rating with an improved price target of $217.00 (from $211.00). It said: "While we recognise the potential for disruption in a rapidly evolving environment, we currently see the multiple compression as overdone considering that REA's moat lies in decades of property, customer and buyer intent data and inherent network effect via established and highly engaged audience. Therefore, REA's shareholder value sits below the user interface level which is difficult to replicate. Retain Buy."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in REA Group and Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

Here's what to expect on hump day on the benchmark index.

Read more »

Five young people sit in a row having fun and interacting with their mobile phones.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a disappointing return to trading for ASX investors today.

Read more »

Boys making faces and flexing.
Small Cap Shares

3 ASX small-cap shares to buy: Morgans

ASX small caps are underperforming in 2026, but Morgans sees opportunity with these 3 companies.

Read more »

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.
Broker Notes

Three ASX shares to buy right now according to Morgans

One of these shares is tipped to more than double.

Read more »

A man in a business suit scratches his head looking at a graph that started high then dips, then starts to go up again like a rollercoaster.
Broker Notes

Down 28% in a year, should I buy the dip on Resmed shares right now?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for the beaten-down ResMed share price.

Read more »

Business man marking buy on board and underlining it.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »

A businessman points to an arrow going up on a graph, indicating a share price rise for an ASX company.
Broker Notes

Up 1,277% in a year, why 4DMedical shares are tipped for more outsized gains

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from 4DMedical’s rocketing shares. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why Aeris Resources, Northern Star, REA Group, and Weebit Nano shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. What's happening?

Read more »