5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

Here's what to expect on the Australian share market on hump day.

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On Tuesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was on form and charged higher. The benchmark index rose 0.55% to 8,808.5 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Wednesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 to edge higher

The Australian share market looks set for a subdued session on Wednesday following a poor night of trade on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 2 points higher this morning. In late trade in the United States, the Dow Jones is down 0.8%, the S&P 500 is down 0.3%, and the Nasdaq is 0.3% lower.

Oil prices rise

ASX 200 energy shares including Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a good session after oil prices jumped overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 2.6% to US$61.01 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 2.2% to US$65.31 a barrel. This was driven by news that Donald Trump cancelled meetings with Iran and told protesters that help is on the way.

Hold Codan shares

After a huge gain over the past 12 months, Codan Ltd (ASX: CDA) shares are now fairly valued according to analysts at Bell Potter. The broker has retained its hold rating with an increased price target of $36.70 (from $27.80). It said: "We believe CDA shares trade at fair value on 33x EV / EBIT (59% above its 2-year average) amidst improving operating momentum and improving outlook in both segments. Given the seasonality evident in the Metal Detection business we see potential for a FY26e Metal Detection revenue upgrade if positive commentary is given at the 1H26e result."

Gold price softens

ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a subdued session on Wednesday after the gold price softened. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is down 0.3% to US$4,601.5 an ounce. The precious metal hit a record high on increased US Fed interest rate cut bets before easing back.

Buy Liontown shares

Lithium miner Liontown Ltd (ASX: LTR) could be in the buy zone according to Bell Potter. In response to stronger than expected lithium prices, the broker has retained its buy rating with a vastly improved price target of $2.48 (from $1.52). It said: "Under our updated price outlook, LTR deleverages from net debt of $274m at 30 September 2025 to a net cash position by the end of 2026. EPS changes as a result of these upgrades are: now +2.3cps (previously -2.3cps); FY27 +230%; & FY28 +106%. LTR's 100% owned Kathleen Valley lithium project is highly strategic in terms of scale, long project life and location in a tier-one mining jurisdiction."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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