Macquarie initiates coverage on this ASX All Ords energy stock; tips close to 80% upside

Here's the broker's outlook on the stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Despite a recent 18.47% drop, Bannerman Energy shares are still up 8.04% year-over-year, with Macquarie predicting a 78% upside, raising the target price to $5.50.
  • Bannerman's Etango Project, one of the largest undeveloped uranium assets, is fully approved in a low-risk jurisdiction, with significant early works underway and a final investment decision expected soon.
  • With strong global uranium demand and limited greenfield projects, Bannerman is well-positioned to capitalize on rising uranium prices, aiming to deliver its first uranium by 2028.

Bannerman Energy Ltd (ASX: BMN) shares have jumped 1.98% higher in Friday afternoon trade. At the time of writing the ASX All Ords stock is changing hands for $3.09 a piece.

The shares have dropped 18.47% over the past month but are still 8.04% higher than this time last year.

For context, the ASX All Ordinaries (ASX: XAO) index is down 0.28% at the time of writing. For the year it is 6.98% higher.

Bannerman Energy is an Australian uranium developer. It has a flagship Etango Project in Namibia, Africa, which is one of the world's largest undeveloped uranium assets. Bannerman has undertaken extensive feasibility studies at the site and has environmental approvals for a future mining operation.

And today, analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) have initiated coverage on the stock, with a very bullish outlook on where the share price will go from here.

A boy is wowed at a surge of water from a blowhole.

Image source: Getty Images

The ASX All Ords stock is tipped to surge

In a note to investors, the broker revealed it has an outperform rating and $5.50 target price on the uranium developer.

At the time of writing that implies a huge potential 78% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

"Valuation: Our 12-mth TP based on 1.0x NAV is A$5.50/sh (on US$95/lb uranium). We already include the anticipated dilution from equity issuance to build Etango-8 (a strategic partner selldown could pose upside)," the broker said in its note.

Catalysts: Uranium price, Etango strategic partner entry, Etango FID (next 6 mths), Etango first drummed U3O8 (2028), Etango XP decision (~2030)….Investment Thesis and Recommendation Outperform. Etango is at the front of the greenfield uranium project queue, being fully approved in a proven and low risk jurisdiction with early works underway and long leads ordered. Strengthening uranium contract price structures are an enabler of the project, and driver of share price upside.

What else does Macquarie have to say about the energy stock?

Macquarie noted that the uranium industry lacks shovel-ready greenfield uranium projects, at a time when uranium demand growth is structurally accelerating. 

It explains that Bannerman Energy's Etango project is fully approved and has now commenced more substantial early works. A final investment decision (FID) is also approaching, and the company plans to deliver its first uranium to market in 2028. 

Given strong reactor growth (~70 under construction, nearly half in China), utilities will need more uranium – with restarts nearly exhausted, we forecast US$95/lb long term uranium prices. While BMN is retaining uncapped upside on majority volumes for now, which we believe is prudent, if floors rise to the ~US$85/lb zone it could start to make sense to layer in (would depend on financing structure).

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A wad of $100 bills of Australian currency lies stashed in a bird's nest.
Dividend Investing

How many Rio Tinto shares do I need to buy for $10,000 a year in passive income?

Rio Tinto shares have a lengthy track record of paying two fully franked dividends a year.

Read more »

A female miner wearing a high vis vest and hard hard smiles and holds a clipboard while inspecting a mine site with a colleague.
Resources Shares

BHP shares vs Woodside shares: Which is the better buy?

Oil and copper are both important commodities, but I think one gives investors a more compelling long-term opportunity.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Resources Shares

How high does Morgan Stanley think BHP shares will go?

Copper is the key to further growth in the BHP share price.

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.
Resources Shares

Buying BHP shares today? Here's the dividend yield you'll get

Have BHP's dividends taken a back seat?

Read more »

A group of people push and shove through the doors of a store, trying to beat the crowd.
Resources Shares

Why this ASX 200 mining stock is sinking 6% today

Investors are taking profits after a huge run.

Read more »

Machinery at a mine site.
Record Highs

Rio Tinto shares hit fresh all-time high. Can they keep going?

The miner's shares have continued rallying higher on Thursday.

Read more »

A woman is very excited about something she's just seen on her computer, clenching her fists and smiling broadly.
Resources Shares

Up 152% in a year, guess which ASX All Ords silver share is leaping again on 'bonanza-grade' results

Investors are piling into the ASX silver share today. But why?

Read more »

Pile of copper pipes.
Resources Shares

Why has this ASX copper stock surged to a new 12-month high?

Big news has these shares on the move.

Read more »