3 hot ASX 200 stocks I'd buy this week with $10,000

Here's what to expect from the shares over the next 12 months.

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Key points

  • Droneshield: Droneshield shares have surged 372.25% this year, with a record-breaking Q3 revenue increase of 1,091% and significant SaaS growth, leading analysts like Bell Potter to maintain a buy rating with a target price of $5.30, indicating a 7.6% upside.
  • Xero: Despite a 6.7% decline in the past month and concerns over its US$2.5 billion Melio acquisition, analysts at Citi suggest Xero shares are undervalued with a $210 target price, offering a 37.4% potential upside.
  • Treasury Wine Estates: With the stock down 46.38% for the year and current trading price at $6.225, analysts see the withdrawal of FY26 guidance as a buying opportunity, with potential upsides ranging from 25.47% to 59.42% based on analyst ratings.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) peaked to an all-time high of 9,087.60 points at the time of writing on Tuesday afternoon. But there are still plenty of great investment opportunities available for investors looking for growth. 

After all, while it might be tempting to sit back and wait for the market to dip, the Oracle of Omaha and billionaire investor Warren Buffett has always said that it's not possible to reliably time the market. Instead, he urges investors to do their research and pick the right business to invest in.

With that in mind, here are my top three ASX 200 stock picks for this week.

Droneshield Ltd (ASX: DRO)

The Droneshield share price has gathered a lot of attention recently. It was one of the most traded shares among CommSec clients last week, and it released an impressive third-quarter update earlier this morning. 

The company reported a record-breaking third quarter for FY 2025, with a revenue surge of an enormous 1,091% to $92.9 million. It also recorded a substantial 400% increase in SaaS revenue.

The counter drone technology company's shares are trading 10.4% higher at the time of writing on Tuesday afternoon, to $4.925 a piece. For the year, the shares are a huge 372.25% higher.

Analysts are positive that there is more upside to come for the ASX defence stock too.

Bell Potter announced it maintains its buy rating on Droneshield shares and raised its price target to $5.30 a piece. The broker commented that the company is well-placed to convert a good portion of its sales pipeline thanks to its exposure to a booming market. At the time of writing, Bell Potter's target price represents another potential 7.6% upside for the stock.

Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO)

The Xero share price is 1.11% lower at the time of writing at $152.87 per share. Xero's share price has dropped 6.7% over the past month, and it is now just 1.24% higher for the year.

Xero posted lower-than-expected FY25 results in May and soon after, in July, announced a US$2.5 billion acquisition of US-based Melio. The deal was completed last week, but its size and projected cash flow continues to spook investors.

Analysts think the ASX 200 stock's dwindling share price represents a great buying opportunity for investors to get access to a high-quality stock.

Last week, the team at Wilsons Advisory said it thinks Xero shares are good value after recent share price pullback. 

Analysts at Citi have a buy rating and $210 target price on the shares. According to its analysts, Xero has "superior subscriber growth" and has offerings that could deliver key growth in the future. That represents a potential upside of 37.4% over the next 12 months, at the time of writing.

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE)

Treasury Wine Estates is another stock that made CommSec's most traded list last week. At the time of writing, the share price is 0.88% lower for the day at $6.225 a piece. Over the past 6 months, the share price has plunged 28.18%, which means that for the year, it is now a disappointing 46.38% lower.

Last week, the Australian-based global wine company withdrew its FY26 earnings guidance, citing market uncertainty. The company did not provide revised guidance figures.

But, despite the news, some analysts see the latest sell-off as a good buying opportunity for investors. The team at Red Leaf Securities said it thinks that investors should be snapping up the wine giant's shares following recent weakness. 

According to TradingView data, 8 out of 17 analysts have a buy or strong buy rating on Treasury Wine Estates shares, with an average target price of $7.79 and a maximum of $9.90. At the time of writing, this represents a potential upside of 25.47% to 59.42% over the next 12 months.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DroneShield and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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