5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

Here's what to expect on the local share market today.

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought

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On Tuesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) fought hard and managed to record the smallest of gains. The benchmark index rose slightly to 8,704.6 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Wednesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to fall on Wednesday following a poor night of trade on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 13 points or 0.15% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.45% the S&P 500 fell 0.3%, and the Nasdaq dropped 0.4%.

Oil prices jump

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a great session after oil prices jumped overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 4% to US$69.39 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 3.9% to US$72.70 a barrel. Traders were buying oil amid US pressure on Russia.

Rio Tinto results

All eyes will be on Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares this morning when the mining giant releases its half year results. According to a note out of Citi, its analysts are expecting Rio Tinto to report a 3% decline in revenue to US$25.9 billion and a 9% reduction in EBITDA to US$11 billion. The latter is a touch below consensus estimates and is expected to underpin an interim dividend of 164 US cents per share.

Gold price rises

It looks set to be a decent session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) on Wednesday after the gold price pushed higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 0.4% to US$3,324.3 an ounce. Traders were buying gold ahead of US-China trade talks.

Buy Boss Energy shares

Bell Potter thinks that Boss Energy Ltd (ASX: BOE) shares are great value after crashing deep into the red this week. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the uranium producer's shares with a reduced price target of $2.90. This implies potential upside of greater than 50%. It said: "At face value, the sell-off looks over extended, however our confidence in forward guidance is low. Our valuation assumes production at Honeymoon over the short 10Y mine life is limited to ~1.7Mlbs pa and costs remain elevated, until such a time that management can guide differently."

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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