5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

Here's what to expect on the Australian share market today.

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought

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On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was on form again and pushed higher. The benchmark index rose 0.7% to 8,126.2 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to fall on Thursday following a mixed night of trade on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 22 point or 0.25% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.35%, the S&P 500 rose 0.15%, but the Nasdaq edged 0.1% lower.

Oil prices drop

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a poor session after oil prices dropped again overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 3.7% to US$58.19 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 1.8% to US$63.12 a barrel. Traders have been selling oil amid concerns over demand and increasing supply.

Woolworths quarterly

The Woolworths Group (ASX: WOW) share price will be one to watch on Thursday when the supermarket giant releases its third quarter update. According to a note out of UBS, its analysts are expecting the company to outperform the market's expectations with a 4.6% year on year increase in sales to $17.6 billion. The consensus estimate is for third quarter sales of $16.6 billion.

Gold price falls

It could be a poor session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) on Thursday after the gold price tumbled overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is down 1.1% to US$3,297.9 an ounce. This was driven by the release of weaker than expected US economic data, which has hit interest rate cut hopes.

Coles shares rated neutral

Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) shares are fully valued according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, in response to the supermarket giant's quarterly update, the broker has reaffirmed its neutral rating with a $19.00 price target. It said: "COL is trading at ~23x 1-yr fwd P/E with FY25-27e 2-yr EPS CAGR of ~11% vs LT P/E avg of 21.3x. We remain Neutral rated with A$19.0/sh TP (vs prev A$19.10/sh) implying -8% TSR as despite strong earnings growth outlook, it is largely a catch-up (~1% EPS CAGR FY23-25e) post supply chain cost drag."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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