Why are ASX gold shares rebounding today?

ASX investors are going for gold today.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX gold shares are rallying on Tuesday after the gold price lifted 1.9% to US$2,611.25 per ounce overnight.

The S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) is up 3.41%, while the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is up 0.86% at the time of writing.

Here's how some of the biggest ASX gold shares are performing today:

  • Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) shares are up 2.86% to $16.72
  • Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) shares are up 2.95% to $4.88
  • Newmont Corporate CDI (ASX: NEM) shares are up 2.17% to $65.38
  • Perseus Mining Ltd (ASX: PRU) shares are up 3.16% to $2.61
  • De Grey Mining Limited (ASX: DEG) shares are up 4.41% to $1.47
  • Bellevue Gold Ltd (ASX: BGL) shares are up 2.77% to $1.30
  • Gold Road Resources Ltd (ASX: GOR) shares are up 2.84% to $1.81
Woman holding gold bar and cheering.

Image source: Getty Images

What's behind today's rebound in ASX gold shares?

As usual, the gold price is a factor in the rally of ASX gold shares today.

The gold price is now recovering from its biggest weekly fall since 2021.

The commodity hit a new record high of about US$2,786 per ounce on 30 October. It then commenced a gradual decline to about US$2,562 per ounce by last Friday.

One reason for the declining gold price over the past fortnight was a rally in the US dollar. This followed the surprisingly decisive election victory of United States Republican Donald Trump.

The currency lift led to a fall in the gold price, which also sent ASX gold shares lower.

This 8% dip in the gold price also follows a strong run in 2024.

The precious metal began rising in February and has lifted by more than 30% since then, even when taking into account this month's fall.

According to Trading Economics, a rebound in the gold price has begun now that the US dollar has paused.

Demand for safe-haven assets has also surged amid US President Joe Biden giving Ukraine permission to use long-range US weapons inside Russia.

Biden did this as Russia amassed almost 50,000 troops in Kursk with the hope of retaking the territory from Ukraine.

The analysts added:

Meanwhile, comments from some Federal Reserve officials last week also added uncertainty regarding the timing and extent of potential rate cuts.

Still, markets are currently pricing in around 65% chance of a 25bps rate cut in December.

 Last week, the US Federal Reserve made its second rate cut this year.

What else is happening today?

ASX gold share Newmont is also higher today after the miner announced a major divestment.

As we've reported, Newmont will sell its Musselwhite operation in Ontario, Canada, to Orla Mining for up to US$850 million (A$1.3 billion).

This will be comprised of US$810 million in cash and up to US$40 million in contingent payments.

MPC Markets' Jonathan Tacadena is optimistic about Newmont shares and has a buy rating on the ASX gold share. My colleague Bernd outlined Tacadena's four reasons for buying Newmont stock yesterday.

What's next for ASX gold shares?

According to the Australian Financial Review (AFR), top broker Goldman Sachs has reiterated its forecast for the gold price to reach US$3,000 per ounce next year.

The broker says further interest rate cuts expected next year will further reduce the opportunity costs of holding gold.

Goldman said tariffs underlined gold's role as an inflation hedge, and there was steady demand from central banks.

The broker said the market's sell-off in November provided an "attractive entry point to buy gold".

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

A mining executive from Red Dirt Metals chats on her mobile phone looking pleased with a mining site and mining truck in the background
Gold

Up 11% in a week, why is this ASX All Ords gold stock outperforming again today?

Investors are piling into this ASX gold stock in Thursday’s sinking market. But why?

Read more »

A young African mine worker is standing with a smile in front of a large haul dump truck wearing his personal protective wear.
Gold

Why are Northern Star Resources shares higher today?

Good news on the production has investors smiling.

Read more »

Ecstatic man giving a fist pump in an office hallway.
Gold

Why this ASX 200 gold stock could be a top buy in July

Looking for exposure to gold? Here is one stock to consider buying.

Read more »

a woman wearing a sparkly strapless dress leans on a neat stack of six gold bars as she smiles and looks to the side as though she is very happy and protective of her stash. She also has gold fingernails and gold glitter pieces affixed to her cheeks.
Gold

6 ASX gold stocks Morgans rates as a buy

A recent pullback in share prices has created opportunities.

Read more »

Man putting golden coins on a board, representing multiple streams of income.
Gold

4 Africa-focused ASX gold stocks Macquarie says could outperform

Despite recent weakness in the gold price, these companies have big things ahead.

Read more »

Man putting golden coins on a board, representing multiple streams of income.
Gold

Want a 151% return? One broker thinks this ASX gold company could deliver

This company is deeply undervalued if you believe the brokers.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Gold

This ASX gold company's aggressive M&A program continues with $300 million deal

This deal looks like a win win for the companies involved.

Read more »

Person holding out eight gold medals.
Gold

5 ASX 200 gold stocks to buy and hold amid the crashing gold price

Leading fundies reveal five ASX 200 gold miners well-positioned to ride out the crashing gold price.

Read more »