5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

Another tough session is expected for Aussie investors today.

A businesswoman exhales a deep sigh after receiving bad news, and gets on with it.

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On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a day to forget and sank deep into the red. The benchmark index fell 1.9% to 7,950.5 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to sink again

It looks set to be another difficult session for Aussie investors on Thursday following a mixed night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 124 points or 1.5% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.1%, the S&P 500 fell 0.15%, and the Nasdaq dropped 0.3%.

Oil prices fall again

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have another tough session after oil prices tumbled again overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 2.1% to US$68.89 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 1.8% to US$72.40 a barrel. Traders have been selling down oil prices amid concerns that supplies will rise as demand falters.

Woodside goes ex-dividend

It isn't just falling oil prices that are going to weigh on Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) shares on Thursday. The energy giant is also likely to trade lower after its shares go ex-dividend this morning for its interim dividend. Last month, the company declared a 69 US cents (approximately A$1.02) per share fully franked dividend. This will be paid to eligible shareholders at the start of next month on 3 October.

Gold price edges higher

ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) will be on watch today after the gold price edged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 0.05% to US$2,524.2 an ounce. Market volatility appears to have led to an increase in demand for the safe haven asset.

Sandfire shares rated neutral

Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR) shares are fairly valued according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. In response to its FY 2024 results, the broker has reaffirmed its neutral rating with a reduced price target of $8.20. It said: "Trading at ~1x NAV (A$8.27/sh) based on our above consensus long run copper price of ~US$4.4/lb (real $) (nominal ~US$5.2/lb), and on ~5.5x NTM EBITDA, broadly in-line with major diversified miners but below global copper companies. SFR is discounting a long run copper price of ~US$4.5/lb (real) on our assumptions."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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