5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

Will the market be able to continue its recovery today? Let's find out.

Broker looking at the share price.

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On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was able to record a small gain. The benchmark index rose 0.25% to 7,699.8 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to fall on Thursday following a poor night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 15 points or 0.2% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.6%, the S&P 500 fell 0.8% and the Nasdaq tumbled 1.05%.

Oil prices charge higher

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a good session after oil prices charged higher overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 3% to US$75.38 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 2.6% to US$78.46 a barrel. This was driven by rising tensions in the Middle East.

Earnings season gathers pace

It has been a slow start to earnings season, but things will be going up a notch on Thursday when a host of ASX 200 shares releases their results. Among the names releasing full year results are financial services company AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP), property company Mirvac Group (ASX: MGR), and toll road giant Transurban Group (ASX: TCL).

Gold price eases

It could be a subdued session for ASX 200 gold shares including Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price eased lower overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is down 0.25% to US$2,425.3 an ounce. This was despite rising geopolitical tensions and rate cut optimism.

Buy REA shares

REA Group Ltd (ASX: REA) shares could be great value according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker upgraded the property listings company's shares to a buy rating with an improved price target of $218.00. It said: "Following recent industry data releases we have reviewed our FY24/25 forecasts and anticipate a strong FY24 performance at the result on 9 th August, driven by potential listings growth above REA commentary for a 5-7% range (BPe: 8%) and positive geo mix (BPe: 2.5%) from outperformance in key Syd/Mel markets."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group, REA Group, and Transurban Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended REA Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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