5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

Here's what to expect on the ASX 200 on the first trading day of the year.

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended the week (and year) with a small decline. The benchmark index fell 0.3% to 7,590.8 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to open flat

The Australian share market looks set for a subdued session on Tuesday following a poor session on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day flat this morning. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones was down 0.05%, the S&P 500 fell 0.3%, and the Nasdaq dropped 0.55%.

Oil prices soften

It could also be a subdued session for ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices softened on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 0.2% to US$71.65 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 0.15% to US$77.04 a barrel. Easing Red Sea concerns weighed on prices.

Lithium shares on watch

Arcadium Lithium (ASX: LTM), Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO), and Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) shares could come under pressure today after their NYSE-listed peers fell on Friday. The likes of Albemarle and Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile dropped around 3% during the session.

Gold price drops

ASX 200 gold shares such as Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a soft session on Tuesday after the gold price ended last week in the red. According to CNBC, the spot gold price was down 0.55% to US$2,071.8 an ounce. This couldn't stop the precious metal from ending its two-year losing streak.

Insurers on watch

Insurance giants Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) and QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE) were given some good news since the market close. Commenting on a note published by Guy Carpenter on the expected outcome of 2024 reinsurance renewals, Goldman said: "We suspect this commentary broadly aligns with expectations in the lead up to renewals for IAG/QBE."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Allkem and Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Ten happy friends leaping in the air outdoors.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX had a lukewarm start to the week today.

Read more »

A man in a hard hat gives a thumbs up as he holds a clipboard in one hand against a blue sky background.
Record Highs

Own Rio Tinto shares? They just hit a new record high

Rio has gotten off to a good start in 2026.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering the face.
Share Fallers

Why 4DMedical, Coronado Global, Metallium, and WiseTech Global shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A young woman raises her arm in celebration against a backdrop of brightly coloured fireworks in the sky.
Share Gainers

Buying ASX uranium shares like Paladin Energy? Here's why they're starting 2026 with a bang!

Investors are piling into ASX uranium stocks in these early days of 2026. But why?

Read more »

Higher interest rates written on a yellow sign.
Share Market News

Experts forecast rising interest rates in 2026. Here's what that means if you're buying ASX shares

Buying ASX shares? Here’s why CBA and NAB are forecasting RBA interest rate hikes in 2026.

Read more »

Three happy office workers cheer as they read about good financial news on a laptop.
Share Gainers

Why Civmec, Fenix, Paladin Energy, and Vulcan Steel shares are pushing higher today

These shares are starting the week on a positive note.

Read more »

Green percentage sign with an animated man putting an arrow on top symbolising rising interest rates.
Share Market News

When could interest rates rise next? It may be sooner than you think

Experts are increasingly predicting that a move higher for interest rates could come soon as inflation remains persistently high.

Read more »