Is now really the time to buy ASX 200 shares?

There is still a lot of uncertainty in the market.

a man sits in unhappy contemplation staring at his computer on his desk in a home environment, propping his chin on his hand.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Investors have been worried about high inflation and rising interest rates
  • Despite that, the ASX 200 has recovered a lot of ground it lost earlier in the year
  • I think there could be opportunities within the ASX 200, and I’d keep investing in ASX 200 ETFs at this level

S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares have seen much volatility in 2022. The index hit low points in both June and September as investors came to terms with the level of inflation and feared how high interest rates might go.

But, the ASX 200 has been recovering since those lows, which we can see with the return of the exchange-traded fund (ETF) iShares Core S&P/ASX 200 ETF (ASX: IOZ).

With the ASX 200 only down by 5% in the year to date, does it make sense to buy now?

ETF investing

If investors are just buying the ASX 200 as a whole, with an ETF like the iShares Core S&P/ASX 200 ETF, BetaShares Australia 200 ETF (ASX: A200), or even the Vanguard Australian Shares Index ETF (ASX: VAS) which tracks the S&P/ASX 300 Index (ASX: XKO), then I think investors could just use a regular investment plan.

An index doesn't usually change in price as much as individual shares, and it's very hard to say how an index is going to perform in the short term, or if it's good value (unless it's down heavily). Plus, with the ASX relatively highly weighted to ASX resource shares, it's even more unpredictable.

If I were investing in an ETF, I'd just put a regular amount – say $1,000 a month or $3,000 a quarter – into the ETF and not worry about 'timing' the market.

Buying individual ASX 200 shares

I think it's easier to evaluate an individual business than the whole market, so we can be a bit pickier if looking at specific names like BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), or Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS).

I'd be happier to buy resource shares when sentiment about the commodity is low.

For example, the iron ore price and BHP share price were substantially lower a few months ago, so the resource giant was more compelling compared to now.

I'm not going to run through my thoughts on 200 different businesses, but I will say that I generally think the market has been too pessimistic about retailers on a three-year view.

I have just written an article outlining my positive views on Brickworks Limited (ASX: BKW) and also pointed out that some ASX tech shares could be beaten-up opportunities because they are still growing at a solid pace. Accordingly, I named the ASX 200 tech share Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) as an idea.

Foolish takeaway

Volatility can be a great time to pick up some long-term growth businesses at cheaper prices, which can go a long way to help us outperform the market over time. But, there may well be some more dips in the coming months, particularly if inflation stays elevated for longer than expected.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Brickworks. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Brickworks and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Brickworks, Wesfarmers, and Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

Woman dining at a table with oversized fork and knife in the hospitality industry.
Cheap Shares

Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at $2.55

This stock looks eggcellent value to me.

Read more »

A person sitting at a desk smiling and looking at a computer.
Opinions

3 ASX shares I'd buy with $30,000 this week

These ASX shares have piqued my interest this week.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Dividend Investing

Forget BHP shares! Buy these ASX dividend shares instead for passive income

I can think of a few options I’d prefer over the mining giant.

Read more »

Two people in flying suits and helmets cruise in mid-air high above the earth with arms outstretched and the sun on the horizon.
Opinions

Prediction: WiseTech stock is going to soar past $150 in 2026

Here's what I expect from the stock in the next 12 months.

Read more »

A man reacts with surprise when her see a bargain price on his phone.
Cheap Shares

2 unmissable ASX 300 shares that look too cheap to ignore!

I strongly believe these businesses are substantially undervalued.

Read more »

Green stock market graph with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Opinions

2 compelling ASX shares I'd buy in a heartbeat

These investments have great potential to deliver good returns…

Read more »

happy new financial year represented by fireworks
Best Shares

My 10 top stocks to buy to start the New Year off right

I think these ten stocks are primed for 2026.

Read more »

woman working on tablet
Opinions

2 incredible ASX 200 shares I'd buy with $2,000 right now

These stocks are some of the best that Australians can buy.

Read more »