Guess which ASX 200 shares UBS just added to its ‘best ideas’ list

UBS explains why some ASX 200 shares can thrive in the current market volatility.

| More on:
Two young boys sit at a desk wearing helmets with lightbulbs, indicating two ASX 200 shares that a broker has recommended as buys today

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • In this volatile environment with multiple macro headwinds, UBS has picked two ASX 200 shares that can deliver solid earnings growth in 2022
  • One of these is Wesfarmers, due largely to its lithium, energy, chemicals, and fertiliser businesses
  • The second is Qantas, as UBS thinks the airline is the best way to gain exposure to the reopening of our economy

It isn’t easy to decide which horse to back during these volatile times, but top broker UBS has just added two ASX 200 shares to its ‘best ideas’ list.

The list reflects its most preferred and least preferred ASX shares for the next 12 months. The names on the list take into account UBS analysts’ views of individual shares and a macro view of the sectors.

Geopolitical conflict, runaway inflation, supply chain chokes, and rising interest rates are some of the many factors hanging over equities today.

Stagflation risk casts a long shadow

The bad news is that UBS believes the risk of stagflation is increasing. This is when inflation is high but economic growth is low to non-existent.

Such an outcome would be terrible news for ASX 200 shares. But there are some that are well placed to outperform.

In fact, UBS reckons a handful of ASX companies can even deliver solid earnings growth in such an environment.

Why some ASX 200 shares can thrive in the volatility

There are four themes that the broker is expecting. The first is a persistently tight global commodities market. Prices of metals to food have been surging higher and there is no relief in sight in the short to medium term.

The reopening of our domestic economy will also throw up some winners on the ASX 200. This is despite the threat of a global economic slowdown.

Our record low unemployment rate is another tailwind that is hard to ignore. Combined with the high levels of savings that households and businesses have hoarded, you can see why Australian consumers are sitting in a pretty good spot.

The ASX 200 shares to buy in 2022

Based on these factors, UBS has added Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) to its best ideas list. The broker did this not so much for the conglomerate’s retail operations, but more for its commodities businesses.

Wesfarmers operates chemical, energy, and fertiliser businesses that service a range of sectors in both domestic and international markets. It also owns lithium assets, such as the Mt Holland mine, and is looking to build a lithium refinery in Western Australia.

The second ASX 200 share to make it onto the list is Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN).

The broker explained:

“Qantas is also added to our most preferred as a means to fully capture the domestic economy’s reopening momentum, and the strength in Airlines globally.”

Least preferred ASX 200 shares

On the flipside, the two least preferred ASX 200 shares for the next 12 months are Adbri Ltd (ASX: ABC) and Inghams Group Ltd (ASX: ING).

This is largely because of the broker’s expectation that they will be most impacted by rising input prices.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A white and black clock with the words Time to Buy in blue lettering representing the views of two experts who say it's time to buy these ASX shares
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Brokers are bullish on these ASX shares...

Read more »

Group of people toasting with wine
Broker Notes

Treasury Wine share price celebrates Friday with a more than two-year high

Looks like it's time for some fine wine.

Read more »

cochlear happy, share price rise, up, increase
Healthcare Shares

Cochlear share price takes off despite guidance miss

The healthcare giant's stock is surging despite its apparent guidance miss.

Read more »

A woman uses her mobile phone to make a purchase.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 200 shares set to soar if we manage to avoid a recession: experts

Could lithium and building supplies stocks be set to gain if recession fears fade?

Read more »

tradie holding a laptop computer displaying ASX share price and scratching his head looking confused
Broker Notes

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy? See what top brokers are saying

The miner's share price has struggled to make ground in recent months.

Read more »

Three Archer Materials scientists wearing white coats and blue gloves dance together in their lab after making a discovery
Healthcare Shares

Buy this ASX 200 company as its costs are actually falling: Firetrail

Rampant inflation means almost every company has to grapple with higher expenses. But here's an exception.

Read more »

An analyst wearing a dark blue shirt and glasses sits at his computer with his chin resting on his hands as he looks at the CBA share price movement today
Technology Shares

Here’s what Goldman Sachs thinks of the Xero share price

What's being said about Xero's shares this week?

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 2 ASX shares to buy today

These ASX shares have been named as buys by analysts at Morgans...

Read more »