Is the Flight Centre (ASX:FLT) share price good value after falling 16% in a month?

Is this travel share in the buy zone?

| More on:
a woman sits next to her wheel along suitcase with the handle raised in a desserted airport with her arms folded and a frustrated, sad expression on her face.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) share price is under pressure on Thursday.

In afternoon trade, the travel agent's shares are down 2% to $17.64.

This means the Flight Centre share price is down 16% since this time last month.

Is the Flight Centre share price in the buy zone now?

Despite its disappointing decline over the last few weeks, the team at Goldman Sachs continue to sit on the fence with the Flight Centre share price.

According to a note out of the investment bank this morning, the broker has retained its neutral rating on the company's shares.

However, its new price target of $20.40 still implies attractive upside of 15.5% over the next 12 months

What did the broker say?

Goldman has been looking at the Omicron variant of COVID-19 and the impact it could have on the travel market.

It commented: "Our global macro team published 4 scenarios on the Omicron variant and early signs indicate that it is likely more consistent with the downside scenario which implies a large Q1 infection wave but with vaccines still protecting against a severe disease resulting in lower hospitalization rates."

"In our view, the implications for travel from this scenario would be an initial slowdown in searches and interest driven by the uncertainty, followed by a quick recovery. However, travel is likely to remain impacted for longer for the Southern African regions where travel bans have been imposed by several countries," it added.

The good news is that after weighing everything up, the broker sees disruption in FY 2022 but no real impact in FY 2023.

Goldman explained: "We've always expected to see occasional hiccups like new variants to impact recovery through the roadmap to global full recovery in FY24. However, FLT has a significant business in South Africa, which has also been one of the leads in terms of recovery. We expect a slowdown in recovery in the EMEA region in late 1H22 and early 2H22. We however make no changes to our outlook into FY23 and beyond as a result of the Omicron outbreak."

Though, as mentioned above, it isn't enough for Goldman to be a little more positive on the Flight Centre share price. It continues to prefer Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB), as discussed here.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Flight Centre Travel Group Limited and Webjet Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Morgans says these are some of the very best ASX 200 shares to buy

The broker believes these shares could be destined to deliver big returns.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Broker Notes

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's verdict on Coles vs. Woolworths share prices

One stock is set for a 26% share price gain over the next 12 months while the other is destined…

Read more »

Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face. as he raises his hands up to his face in response to the high fluctuations in the Galileo share price today
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 50%

Big returns could be on the cards for owners of these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »