Is the Woolworths (ASX:WOW) share price a buy in November 2021?

Are Woolworths shares worth looking at? We take a look at what the brokers are saying

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Is the Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price worth looking at? The supermarket business recently revealed how the first quarter of its FY22 has gone.

ASX 200 shares broker downgrade origami paper fortune teller with buy hold sell and dollar sign options

Image Source: Getty Images

FY22 first quarter

Woolworths said its group continuing operations sales went up by 7.8% year on year to $16 billion. E-commerce sales increased by 53.5% to $1.88 billion.

Let's look at the individual key segments.

Australian food sales rose by 3.9% to $12.27 billion.

It started reporting a new segment, its Australian business to business (B2B) division. That includes the acquisition of PFD Food Services, the establishment of partnership services with Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV), and the growth of existing B2B businesses. This division saw growth of total sales by 196.4% to $952 million.

New Zealand food increased by 12.9% to $1.96 billion.

Big W sales fell 17.5% to $920 million.

Woolworths said the first quarter was the most challenging COVID quarter for the business because of disruption to its supply chain and stores, caused by the Delta variant. The Woolworths share price has fallen more than 4% since the release of this trading update.

Looking at the second quarter of FY22, in October to date, Woolworths said that Australian food sales have slowed as NSW lockdown restrictions eased. However, Big W sales have improved as Greater Sydney stores reopen. Management noted that Christmas will be even more important for Big W this year.

Interestingly, despite all the talk about inflation, average Woolworths supermarket prices decreased 0.9% over the quarter, or 1.8% excluding tobacco, with deflation across all major categories except tobacco and meat, due to comparing against the temporary reduction in promotional activity in the prior year and deflation in fruit and vegetables.

During the quarter, Woolworths opened a total of six new stores in Australia, with five supermarkets and one Metro store.

Woolworths is now firmly focused on Christmas and the festive season. Management said the outlook remains uncertain and that there are likely to be "challenges in the weeks ahead".

What is the broker opinion on the Woolworths share price?

Brokers are mostly neutral on the business at the moment.

For example, the analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) think Woolworths shares are 'neutral' with a price target of $41.50. While households continue to eat more food at home than before the pandemic, the supermarket business is starting to see this reverse. The broker also thinks that Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) is going to stage a comeback as COVID impacts subside.

One of the most negative opinions on Woolworths is from Credit Suisse, which has an 'underperform' on the business with a price target of just $31.84. This broker believes Woolworths' profit margins could soon be tightened a little bit.

However, it's not all negative. The broker Ord Minnett thinks the Woolworths share price is a buy, with a price target of $43. Ord Minnett believes the company still has attractive prospects.

Valuation on the Woolworths share price

Using the middle rating of Macquarie's 'neutral' rating, the broker thinks Woolworths shares are valued at 30x FY22's estimated earnings.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET and Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A man sits wide-eyed at a desk with a laptop open and holds one hand to his forehead with an extremely worried look on his face as he reads news of the Bitcoin price falling today on his mobile phone
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Bega Cheese and Dominos shares crashing today?

These well known names are tumbling on Tuesday.

Read more »

A businessman wears armour and holds a shield and sword.
Share Market News

Nervous investors turn to ASX 200 defensives as global energy shock drags on

ASX investors sought safety in defensive sectors last week.

Read more »

A smiling woman at a hardware shop selects paint colours from a wall display.
Broker Notes

Wesfarmers shares: Buy, hold or sell?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

A couple sits on the bed in their hotel room wearing white robes, both have seen the bad news on their phones.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

EVT flags FY26 EBITDA growth amid hotel strength and portfolio changes

EVT expects EBITDA growth for FY26, with hotels leading performance and ongoing portfolio upgrades supporting future results.

Read more »

Happy smiling young woman drinking red wine while standing among the grapevines in a vineyard.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is everyone buying this beaten-down ASX wine stock now?

Execution will determine if this rally has legs.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock is sinking 15% on CEO change

The online furniture retailer has announced a leadership change today.

Read more »

Woman customer and grocery shopping cart in supermarket store, retail outlet or mall shop. Female shopper pushing trolley in shelf aisle to buy discount groceries, sale goods and brand offers.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Woolworths shares for the 'steady dividends'?

A leading analyst provides his outlook for Woolworths rebounding shares.

Read more »

A close up of a casino card dealer's hands shuffling a deck of cards at a professional gambling table with the eager faces of casino patrons in the background.
Share Gainers

Why is everyone buying Tabcorp shares this week?

Here's what is driving the latest price momentum for Tabcorp shares, and what to expect next.

Read more »