Are Australian households starting to close their wallets and hurt ASX shares?

Australian households appear to be shutting their wallets and hurting ASX shares.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There are many household retail names that are listed on the ASX, so we can get a good sense of the Australian consumer by seeing the business results and the comments of CEOs.

Just today, car dealership business Automotive Holdings Group Ltd (ASX:AHG) has reported a weaker-than-expected start to FY19, with net profit down 45%.

AHG's Managing Director, John McConnell, said "The entire private buyer market has been weaker, with the east coast, especially NSW and Victoria, being affected by a falling housing market and the negative flow-on effects to consumer confidence and auto sales".

Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK) managing director Anthony Scali recently warned that the furniture retailer's same store sale growth would be "challenging in this volatile trading environment".

Both of the above businesses have seen their share prices fall quite painfully over the past year.

But, it doesn't appear to be all doom and gloom out there in the retail sector. For example, JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) reported that JB Hi-Fi Australia had seen sales growth of 5.3% for the first quarter of FY18.

Earlier today Kathmandu Holdings Ltd (ASX: KMD) reported same store sales growth of 7.1% in Australia and Accent Group Ltd (ASX: AX1) increased its profit guidance for the first half of FY19.

Some businesses are reporting continued growth and others are facing difficulties. I suppose it depends on their respective client bases and how effective they are at retailing.

Perhaps Nick Scali's issues are a sign that the more well-off consumers are struggling.

Foolish takeaway

The Australian job market remains in a good state with the unemployment rate being 5% and wages growth picking up slightly in the latest quarterly figures. As long as the unemployment rate stays low then the consumer-facing shares shouldn't do too badly.

The share prices of many of these retailers are coming down, but I wouldn't want to jump on them just yet. I would rather wait until there is 'blood' on the streets considering house prices are likely to continue to fall and household debt will become more expensive with rising interest rates.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Accent Group and Automotive Holdings Group Limited. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A woman stands at her desk looking a her phone with a panoramic view of the harbour bridge in the windows behind her with work colleagues in the background.
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

Will the market end the week on a high? Let's find out.

Read more »

A woman relaxes on a yellow couch with a book and cuppa, and looks pensively away as she contemplates the joy of earning passive income.
Share Market News

Buy, hold, sell: Evolution Mining, Hub24, and Rio Tinto shares

Let's see what Morgans is saying about these top stocks.

Read more »

A panel of four judges hold up cards all showing the perfect score of ten out of ten
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX just snapped a three-day losing streak.

Read more »

Rocket powering up and symbolising a rising share price.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX 200 mining share up 93% in six months?

Expert says the tailwinds include rising commodities, strategic decisions, and new capital flows into hard assets.

Read more »

ASX 200 investor looking worried about her investment and share prices.
Share Market News

ASX 200 drops as lower unemployment raises the risk of an interest rate hike

New jobs data has enhanced fears of an interest rate hike to quell resurgent inflation.

Read more »

Shot of a young businesswoman looking stressed out while working in an office.
Share Fallers

Why Fortescue, Generation Development, Northern Star, and Pantoro shares are falling today

These shares are missing out on the good times on Thursday. What's happening?

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop. A financial graph is superimposed across the image.
Share Gainers

Why Cogstate, DroneShield, Premier Investments, and South32 shares are storming higher

These shares are having a strong session on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A woman looks quizzical as she looks at a graph of the share market.
Broker Notes

Looking for double-digit returns? Check out RBC Capital Markets' picks ahead of reporting season

These shares could deliver strong upside.

Read more »