5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

Will the market end the week on a high? Let's find out.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Thursday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) returned to form and charged higher. The benchmark index rose 0.75% to 8,848.7 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Friday and end the week on a high? Here are five things to watch:

A woman stands at her desk looking at her phone with a panoramic view of the harbour bridge in the windows behind her.

Image source: Getty Images

ASX 200 expected to rise again

The Australian share market looks set to rise on Friday following a good night in the United States. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open 6 points or 0.1% higher this morning. In late trade on Wall Street, the Dow Jones is up 0.95%, the S&P 500 is up 0.8%, and the Nasdaq is up 1.15%.

Oil prices tumble

It could be a tough finish to the week for ASX 200 energy shares such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices tumbled overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 2.2% to US$59.27 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 2% to US$63.95 a barrel. This was driven by Donald Trump toning down threats against Greenland and Iran.

Sell Lynas shares

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) shares could be seriously overvalued according to analysts at Bell Potter. According to the note, the broker has reaffirmed its sell rating on the rare earths producer's shares with an improved price target of $11.15. This implies potential downside of 33% for investors from current levels. It said: "Our target price increases to $11.15/sh (previously $9.60/sh), and we maintain our Sell recommendation. Whilst we like the business, asset, and team, we believe there is significant optimism priced into the stock, with investors using it as a hedge on US-China relations."

Gold price rises

ASX 200 gold shares Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) could have a good finish to the week after the gold price pushed higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 1.8% to US$4,925.4 an ounce. Safe haven demand has been driving gold higher this week.

Buy Regis Resources shares

Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL) shares could be heading higher according to Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the gold miner's shares with an improved price target of $8.85 (from $7.05). This suggests that upside of 17% is possible from current levels. The broker said: "We remain attracted to RRL's all-Australian, multi-mine asset portfolio, its demonstrated leverage to the gold price, highly competitive cash generation and its fully unhedged, debt free position. Our NPV-based valuation lifts 26%, to $8.85/sh. We retain our Buy recommendation."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Lynas Rare Earths Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett tips these ASX All Ords shares to rise 30% to 50%

Let's see what the broker is recommending to clients.

Read more »

Five young people sit in a row having fun and interacting with their mobile phones.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors ended the trading week on a sour note today.

Read more »

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Share Market News

Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure successfully issues inaugural A$350m medium-term note

Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure has priced a $350 million inaugural note to boost funding flexibility and support its asset base.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: DBI, GQG Partners, and Rio Tinto shares

Here's what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »

Wife and husband with a laptop on a sofa over the moon at good news.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks storming higher in this week's slumping market

These three ASX 200 stocks have gained 10% to more than 25% this week despite the broader market retrace. Here’s…

Read more »

Business man at desk looking out window with his arms behind his head at a view of the city and stock trends overlay.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why CAR Group, Immutep, Northern Star, and Syrah Resources shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red? Here's why.

Read more »

Pieces of paper with percetage rates on them and a question mark.
Share Market News

Here's what CBA says the RBA will do with interest rates in 2026

CBA’s 2026 interest rate forecast will favour lenders over borrowers.

Read more »