5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

It looks set to be a very good session for investors. Here's what to expect.

On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was out of form and dropped into the red. The benchmark index was down 0.6% to 8,834.5 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

Smiling Indian manager leaning on chair.

Image source: Getty Images

ASX 200 expected to jump

It looks set to be a day to remember for Aussie investors on Thursday following a strong night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 179 points or 2% higher this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones rose 3.05%, the S&P 500 climbed 1.6%, and the Nasdaq jumped 1.45%.

NAB results

National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares will be on watch today when the big four bank releases its FY 2026 results. The consensus estimate is for NAB to report a cash profit of $6.3 billion for the 12 months. Earnings per share are expected to be in the region of $2.38 to $2.46, supporting total dividends of $1.70 per share for FY 2026.

Oil prices crash

ASX 200 energy shares Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a tough session after oil prices crashed overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 7.8% to US$88.60 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 8.1% to US$95.18 a barrel. Traders appear to believe the US mid-term election results could encourage peace talks between the US and Iran.

REA update

REA Group Ltd (ASX: REA) shares will be in focus today. That's because the property listings company will be releasing its first-quarter update before the market open. The team at Citi is expecting REA Group to report revenue of $440 million (excluding India). This would be an increase of 8% on a continuing basis. EBITDA is forecast to also be up 8% to $284 million for the three months.

Gold price jumps

It could be a good session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) on Thursday after the gold price jumped overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 3.4% to US$4,074.2 an ounce. Investors were bidding the precious metal higher after the US dollar weakened following the US mid-term elections.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in REA Group and Woodside Energy Group Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ASX Share Market News

Piles of coins with rising arrows.
Broker Notes

I screened the ASX for five companies rated a strong buy by brokers

These companies could offer strong share price upside.

Read more »

Stressed businessman sits in panic amid digital stock market financial background.
Opinions

I investigated 3 ASX shares that crashed in 2026. Are they bargain buys or value traps?

Here’s my verdict on these three beaten-down ASX shares.

Read more »

Robot's hand typing on keyboard.
Opinions

3 reasons I'd buy Xero shares before the end of 2026

There's a catalyst ahead for Xero shares.

Read more »

Three small children reach up to hold a toy rocket high above their heads in a green field with a blue sky above them.
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares tipped by brokers to climb 110% or higher over the next 12 months

Brokers think these ASX shares could storm higher over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Man looking at his laptop and pondering data.
ASX Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Wednesday

Here's what Aussie investors can expect on hump day.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Opinions

Why I just invested $11,000 in this ASX dividend share

This stock has a lot of positives…

Read more »

Senior man looking at his laptop and pondering something.
Opinions

BHP shares: I investigated the bull and the bear case, and here's where I landed

BHP shares have been relatively stable over the past six months.

Read more »

Interest rate on a rising arrow with a percentage sign on top, with piles of coins on the table.
ASX Share Market News

RBA raises cash rate to 4.85%. Do term deposits now have a clear advantage over ASX shares?

Interest rates just hit an 18-year peak. Read on to find out how I'm approaching ASX shares vs. term deposits…

Read more »