Why I'd buy and hold Woolworths and Wesfarmers shares for 10 years

I like businesses with strong customer relationships, and I think these two ASX retail giants have plenty going for them.

Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) and Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) are two of Australia's most established retail businesses.

Both have strong brands, enormous customer bases, and a history of delivering returns to shareholders.

And while their shares aren't particularly cheap, I believe their long-term prospects make them worth considering.

Here's why I would be happy to buy and hold both.

Woman using her laptop with her feet up.

Image source: Getty Images

Woolworths shares

My first choice is Woolworths, which I think has an excellent position in the Australian retail market.

To appreciate the scale of its operations, consider that Woolworths recorded an average of 26.1 million customer transactions every week in FY26.

The company also estimates that 86% of Australians live within a 10-minute drive of one of its supermarkets.

That's an enormous reach, and I believe it gives Woolworths a significant competitive advantage.

Its Everyday Rewards loyalty program adds another dimension, with active membership reaching 10.9 million in the first quarter of FY27, according to last week's ASX update.

These customer relationships provide Woolworths with valuable opportunities to encourage repeat shopping, improve its offers, and grow sales.

And recent results suggest the company's efforts to improve its supermarket business are paying off. Australian Food sales increased 6.9% in the first quarter, supported by stronger customer transactions and improving sales volumes.

Admittedly, promotional activity contributed to this growth, so I wouldn't assume it can maintain that pace indefinitely.

Nevertheless, I believe Woolworths has plenty of opportunities to improve profitability as its investments in technology, distribution, and customer experience continue delivering benefits.

As for valuation, Woolworths shares are trading around $39.73 on Tuesday.

According to the latest CommSec consensus forecasts, this puts them on a forward price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of approximately 26.8 times FY27 earnings and 24.7 times FY28 earnings.

That's a premium, although it compares reasonably well with the median PE of approximately 28.2 times I worked out over the past five years.

With a forecast FY27 dividend yield of approximately 2.8%, I think Woolworths offers a reasonable combination of income and long-term growth potential.

Wesfarmers shares

Another ASX share I would happily buy and hold is Wesfarmers.

One thing I like about Wesfarmers is just how many different areas of Australian consumer spending it reaches.

Through businesses such as Bunnings, Kmart, Officeworks, and Priceline, the company has established a presence in everything from home improvement and everyday essentials to healthcare.

Its retail and health operations span almost 2,000 locations across Australia and New Zealand. But I think Wesfarmers has an opportunity to get even more out of that enormous network.

Its OnePass membership program is bringing customers closer to its different retail brands, encouraging them to shop more frequently and across multiple businesses.

In fact, Wesfarmers reported that OnePass members shop and spend approximately 3.3 times more than non-members.

I think this demonstrates how valuable its customer relationships could become as the company continues developing its digital capabilities.

Its businesses are also highly profitable. Bunnings, for example, delivered a return on capital of approximately 69% in FY26 according to its results release.

That gives Wesfarmers considerable financial flexibility to reinvest in its operations and pursue new opportunities.

At around $77.70, Wesfarmers shares trade on approximately 29.2 times forecast FY27 earnings, falling to 26.9 times for FY28 according to CommSec.

That's expensive, particularly compared with the five-year median PE of approximately 26 times I calculated.

However, I believe its strong brands, high-quality operations, and opportunities to grow across multiple industries justify paying a premium.

The forecast dividend yield of approximately 2.9% for FY27 is another positive.

The next decade

Over the next decade, I believe both companies can continue growing their earnings and dividends. 

Of course, Woolworths will need to navigate strong supermarket competition, while Wesfarmers will need to keep its retail businesses performing well to justify its premium valuation.

But both have the track record and expertise to deliver on this, in my opinion.

Foolish takeaway

I believe Woolworths and Wesfarmers shares could continue rewarding investors for many years.

Both have built enormous customer networks that would be difficult for competitors to replicate, and I think they still have opportunities to become more profitable.

Their valuations are something to keep in mind, but I would be comfortable buying at current levels and allowing their earnings and dividends to grow over time.

Motley Fool contributor Grace Alvino has positions in Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Couple checking out shoes to buy at a shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Buy, hold, sell: Super Retail, Baby Bunting, Wesfarmers shares

It's a tough environment for retailers amid drastically low consumer confidence, falling home values, and rising interest rates.

Read more »

Woman buying diary product and reading food label in grocery store.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles share price sinks 12%: Should I buy the dip?

Sales are still growing, but the outlook has become more challenging. I look at whether the sharp share price decline…

Read more »

A judge bangs down the gavel.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Star Entertainment hit with $260 million fine: Can it survive?

The Federal Court handed down the fine earlier today.

Read more »

A woman gives a side eye look with her lips pursed as though she might be saying ooh at something she's hearing or learning for the first time.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Down 24%: Is this a rare buying opportunity in 1 of Australia's top shares?

This ASX stock has caught my attention recently.

Read more »

A woman sits on sofa pondering a question.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Temple & Webster +30%, Nick Scali -15%: Why did sector correlation go out the window last week?

Two ASX furniture retailers, two very different share price reactions. What happened?

Read more »

Smiling man with a full trolley looking at an aisle in the supermarket while holding his phone.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Should I buy Coles shares before its Q1 results?

The business is performing well, but the shares aren't cheap. Here's what I'm considering before Friday's announcement.

Read more »

Woman using smartphone to check product details while shopping in a grocery store aisle.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Are Woolworths shares worth buying before Wednesday's big update?

The shares are not cheap, so I think tomorrow’s sales update will be particularly important.

Read more »

a group of enthusiastic people dash out of open doors as though in a hurry to purchase something. The picture features the legs of some people, faces of others and people in the background trying to get through the crowd.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is everyone buying Eagers Automotive shares today?

The shares have jumped 8% higher on Monday.

Read more »