Would Warren Buffett buy Wesfarmers shares?

Would the Sage of Omaha want to buy Wesfarmers shares?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) share price has taken a dive in recent weeks. It has declined around 20%, as the chart below shows.

I'm not sure if Warren Buffett has heard of Wesfarmers, but I'm sure most Aussies have heard of some of its main profit generators including Bunnings, Kmart, Officeworks and Priceline.

Wesfarmers owns other businesses such as Target, healthcare businesses (such as InstantScripts) and WesCEF (chemicals, energy and fertiliser), which includes lithium mining.

Warren Buffett hasn't told me whether he'd invest in Wesfarmers shares or not. But, I think there are a few aspects that make me believe it could be attractive to the legendary investor from Omaha.

Legendary share market investing expert and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.

Image source: The Motley Fool

Good return on equity

There are a variety of ways to judge the quality of a business, such as how fast its earnings are growing, the strength of its competitive advantages (economic moat) and how high its return on equity (ROE) is.

For me, the ROE is a very powerful profitability metric because it tells investors how much profit a business is making compared to how much shareholder money is retained within the business.

I think Warren Buffett would want to see that the business makes a good ROE, and it could continue improving even further into the future.

Wesfarmers reported that for the first six months of FY26, its ROE (excluding significant items) improved 150 basis points (1.50%) to 32.7%.

Wonderful company

I'd view the business as one of the highest-quality businesses on the ASX because of the great market position and brand recognition of Bunnings and Kmart.

I think these businesses are likely to keep increasing profits as they grow their store networks, expand their product ranges, increase online sales and benefit from improving scale benefits.

As an example of how wonderful these businesses are, in HY26 Bunnings Group achieved a return on capital (ROC) of 70.8% and Kmart Group delivered a ROC of 69.8%.

As Warren Buffett once said, he'd rather buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.

According to the forecast on CMC Invest, the business is trading at 29x FY26's estimated earnings, at the time of writing. I'd call that a fair price for a wonderful company.

Compounding profit growth

One of the main reasons why I'd be happy to invest today – aside from the recent decline of the Wesfarmers share price – is the fact the company has a track record of delivering underlying profit growth most years.

Analysts are expecting net profit to continue growing in the next few years, which I think would be appealing to Warren Buffett.

According to the projection on CMC Invest, Wesfarmers is expected to see its earnings per share (EPS) climb to $2.52 in 2026, $2.80 in 2027 and $3.00 in FY28.

If Wesfarmers can grow its earnings by approximately 19% between FY26 and FY28, then this could be a very useful tailwind for the Wesfarmers share price in the longer-term.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A trendy woman wearing sunglasses splashes cash notes from her hands.
Retail Shares

3 reasons why the Wesfarmers share price is a buy

This business has a very promising future. Here’s why I think it’s a buy…

Read more »

Frustrated man looking exhausted while sitting at his desk with his laptop and carrying his glasses in his hand.
Retail Shares

Why the ASX 200 just hit a 6-week low

Consumer sentiment cracked and the retailers wore it.

Read more »

Piles of increasing coins on Australian $100 notes.
Retail Shares

If I buy $4,000 of Wesfarmers shares, how much dividend income will I receive?

Wesfarmers continues to be a reliable source of dividends…

Read more »

Stacks of Australian dollar currency banknotes.
Dividend Investing

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2029 for Wesfarmers shares

Wesfarmers could be one of the best dividend picks.

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Dividend Investing

Everything you need to know about the Wesfarmers dividend

The Bunnings and Kmart owner has declared its next dividend.

Read more »

Woman analysing data.
Retail Shares

Here's what brokers tip for Wesfarmers shares over the next 12 months

Investors have been eagerly anticipating the latest financial update.

Read more »

Two women shoppers smile as they look at a pair of earrings in a costume jewellery store with a selection of large, colourful necklaces made of beads lined up on a display shelf next to them.
Retail Shares

Why I think the Lovisa share price is an excellent long-term buy right now

I think this stock is a sparkling opportunity.

Read more »

A beautiful woman holds up one finger with one hand and has her hand on her waist with the other as she smiles widely as though she is very pleased about something.
Retail Shares

Why is this $3 billion ASX retail stock rocketing 19% today?

Lovisa must sustain store growth and comparable sales to keep rallying.

Read more »