Why this ASX retail stock is falling after a solid trading update

Universal shares fall despite stronger sales.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A strong trading update would normally be enough to get investors interested, but that is not how the market is treating Universal Store Holdings Ltd (ASX: UNI) today.

The youth fashion retailer released its FY26 trading update before market open on Tuesday, and the numbers were mostly positive.

Despite this, the share price has gone backwards. At the time of writing, Universal shares are down 3.10% to $7.035.

That leaves the stock down about 12% in 2026, despite the company reporting higher sales and an FY26 earnings guidance above last year's result.

Here's what investors are looking at today.

A woman carries a stack of boxes along a street after a big day of shopping.

Image source: Getty Images

Retail sales keep moving higher

Universal reported group retail sales growth of 14% for the first 43 weeks of FY26.

Its core Universal brand lifted total sales by 11.8%, with like-for-like sales up 8.5%.

Perfect Stranger was the strongest performer, with total sales jumping 39.8% and like-for-like sales rising 12.9%. CTC retail sales also grew 14.5%, although like-for-like sales were more modest at 3.8%.

The second-half update also looked solid. Universal said its core brand achieved 8.1% like-for-like sales growth in the first 17 weeks of the second half, while Perfect Stranger delivered 10% growth.

Management also pointed to positive in-store momentum. Online sales have been softer, but the company linked that to reduced discounting and fewer promotional activities.

What management expects for FY26

The company also outlined its expectations for FY26.

Universal expects group sales of $368 million to $375 million, compared with $333.3 million in FY25. Underlying EBITA is expected to land between $61.5 million and $64.5 million, up from $54.6 million last year.

At the mid-point, that implies sales growth of 11.5% and underlying EBITA growth of 15.4%.

The update showed the business is still growing, and management said it has not seen a material shift in sales trends across the group.

But, CTC weighs on the update

The weaker point in the announcement was CTC wholesale.

Universal said deterioration in the CTC wholesale channel continued in the second half, with the closure of key third-party customer stores and reduced intercompany sales weighing on the division.

Management now sees the wholesale channel as structural and unlikely to improve soon. The channel represents less than 5% of group sales, excluding intercompany eliminations.

That said, the company will recognise a $24 million non-cash impairment against CTC intangible assets. This will be excluded from underlying earnings, but it still takes some shine off the update.

Foolish Takeaway

I can see why the market is not giving this a clean pass today.

The retail numbers look good, Perfect Stranger is still growing quickly, and guidance has moved higher. But the CTC impairment gives investors a reason to hit the sell button, especially with the share price already down this year.

From my side, I would want to see whether management can get CTC back on track.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Universal Store. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A young woman looks happily at her phone in one hand with a selection of retail shopping bags in her other hand.
Retail Shares

Why JB Hi-Fi shares can turn things around despite a tough retail environment

JB Hi-Fi shares have had a rough time of late. However, solid growth provides a catalyst for investors to consider…

Read more »

A man in a business suit whose face isn't shown hands over two Australian hundred dollar notes from a pile of notes in his other hand to an outstretched hand of another person.
Retail Shares

Billionaire Brett Blundy is buying again. Is this battered ASX retail share about to turn?

Adairs shares are rising after a high-profile retail investor bought in.

Read more »

Man with his head on his head with a red declining arrow and A worried man holds his head and look at his computer as the Megaport share price crashes today
Retail Shares

Major ASX retail stocks sink to year lows: Time to buy?

Weak retail sentiment and high interest rates pressure share prices.

Read more »

A smiling woman with a handful of $100 notes, indicating strong dividend payments
Retail Shares

3 ASX retail shares exposed to a drop in consumer spending

Which stocks could be most impacted by a drop in consumer spending?

Read more »

A man and a woman stand on an external balcony in a dense city environment filled with high rise buildings and commercial properties. The man is pointing up at a high rise building and the woman is looking on.
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? It's expanding into modular apartment construction

Wesfarmers has revealed its latest growth plans.

Read more »

A woman smiles at the outlook she sees through binoculars.
Retail Shares

How much could the Wesfarmers share price rise in the next year?

Is the Wesfarmers business undervalued?

Read more »

a man sits at a bar with a half full glass of beer and looks sadly into his mobile phone while propping his head on his hand with his elbow resting on the bar.
Retail Shares

Endeavour Group Q3 sales rise as retail and hotels gain ground

Endeavour Group's Q3 FY26 sales rose 3% as both retail and hotels delivered growth, despite economic and supply chain headwinds.

Read more »

Excited woman holding out $100 notes, symbolising dividends.
Retail Shares

How big will the Wesfarmers dividend yield be in 2027?

What’s going to happen with the Wesfarmers dividend?

Read more »