Why this ASX retail stock is falling after a solid trading update

Universal shares fall despite stronger sales.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A strong trading update would normally be enough to get investors interested, but that is not how the market is treating Universal Store Holdings Ltd (ASX: UNI) today.

The youth fashion retailer released its FY26 trading update before market open on Tuesday, and the numbers were mostly positive.

Despite this, the share price has gone backwards. At the time of writing, Universal shares are down 3.10% to $7.035.

That leaves the stock down about 12% in 2026, despite the company reporting higher sales and an FY26 earnings guidance above last year's result.

Here's what investors are looking at today.

A woman carries a stack of boxes along a street after a big day of shopping.

Image source: Getty Images

Retail sales keep moving higher

Universal reported group retail sales growth of 14% for the first 43 weeks of FY26.

Its core Universal brand lifted total sales by 11.8%, with like-for-like sales up 8.5%.

Perfect Stranger was the strongest performer, with total sales jumping 39.8% and like-for-like sales rising 12.9%. CTC retail sales also grew 14.5%, although like-for-like sales were more modest at 3.8%.

The second-half update also looked solid. Universal said its core brand achieved 8.1% like-for-like sales growth in the first 17 weeks of the second half, while Perfect Stranger delivered 10% growth.

Management also pointed to positive in-store momentum. Online sales have been softer, but the company linked that to reduced discounting and fewer promotional activities.

What management expects for FY26

The company also outlined its expectations for FY26.

Universal expects group sales of $368 million to $375 million, compared with $333.3 million in FY25. Underlying EBITA is expected to land between $61.5 million and $64.5 million, up from $54.6 million last year.

At the mid-point, that implies sales growth of 11.5% and underlying EBITA growth of 15.4%.

The update showed the business is still growing, and management said it has not seen a material shift in sales trends across the group.

But, CTC weighs on the update

The weaker point in the announcement was CTC wholesale.

Universal said deterioration in the CTC wholesale channel continued in the second half, with the closure of key third-party customer stores and reduced intercompany sales weighing on the division.

Management now sees the wholesale channel as structural and unlikely to improve soon. The channel represents less than 5% of group sales, excluding intercompany eliminations.

That said, the company will recognise a $24 million non-cash impairment against CTC intangible assets. This will be excluded from underlying earnings, but it still takes some shine off the update.

Foolish Takeaway

I can see why the market is not giving this a clean pass today.

The retail numbers look good, Perfect Stranger is still growing quickly, and guidance has moved higher. But the CTC impairment gives investors a reason to hit the sell button, especially with the share price already down this year.

From my side, I would want to see whether management can get CTC back on track.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Universal Store. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Retail Shares

Why the JB Hi-Fi share price just suffered its worst day on record

How will the retailer's shares respond today?

Read more »

Hands reaching high for a trophy with a sunset in the background.
Retail Shares

A rare buying opportunity in 1 of Australia's top shares?

This company is flying under the radar. I think it’s a great buy.

Read more »

Investor scratching his head.
Retail Shares

Wesfarmers shares are up 10%: Why experts are saying sell

Wesfarmers’ growth looks impressive, but how much is already priced into shares?

Read more »

Stressed shopper holding shopping bags.
Retail Shares

Should I invest $6,000 in Wesfarmers shares in August?

Here's what brokers tip for the retail conglomerate’s shares now.

Read more »

Stressed shopper holding shopping bags.
Retail Shares

Are Wesfarmers shares a buy in August?

The conglomerate's shares reached an eight-month high in mid-July.

Read more »

A man pushes a supermarket trolley with phone in hand down a supermarket aisle looking at the products on the shelves.
Retail Shares

Are Coles, Wesfarmers or Woolworths shares a better buy right now?

Can these retail giants keep rising?

Read more »

Happy couple doing online shopping.
Retail Shares

3 reasons why the Lovisa share price is a buy right now

This business has a very exciting future. It looks like a great time to buy!

Read more »

Stressed shopper holding shopping bags.
Retail Shares

Why are Myer shares plummeting 8% today?

Shoppers are increasingly keeping their wallets shut.

Read more »