ASX gold stocks never pay high dividends, but Evolution just changed the game

Gold miners are finally starting to pay big dividends.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX investors buy gold stocks for a number of reasons. Perhaps they might think a particular gold miner is undervalued. Perhaps they might be bullish on the price of gold itself and see gold miners as a potentially lucrative leverage play on further price increases. Or perhaps just wish to hedge against inflation, geopolitical tension, or economic uncertainty. But ASX investors rarely buy gold stocks for the dividends.

As we went through late last year, the economics of mining gold are strikingly different to other commodities that ASX investors might be used to investing in. Gold miners typically don't enjoy the fat margins and bulk production that other commodities like oil or iron ore can facilitate.

That's mainly why we are used to seeing dividend yields of 4%, 5%, or even 6% from big miners like BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG), or Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO). And why dividends of 2% or less are common to see with even the largest ASX gold stocks like Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) or Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST).

Well, that's the conventional wisdom anyway. However, we are in a different world right now. Gold, as many investors would know, has just come off the back of one of the most significant price rallies we've ever seen in precious metals investing. It's hard to even picture, but it was only 12 months ago that gold was asking under US$3,000 an ounce. Today, that same ounce will set investors back just over US$5,080. And that's after the pullback we have seen over February. Gold hit a new record high of over US$5,500 an ounce late last month.

Gold bars and Australian dollar notes.

Image source: Getty Images

Evolution's monster dividend changes the ASX gold stock game

This sharp surge in value has obviously been mana from heaven for ASX gold stocks. Consider Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN). Evolution dropped its latest earnings on Wednesday. And they were something special for a gold miner. First up, Evolution told investors that it achieved an all-in sustaining cost (cost of mining and processing in simpler terms) of US$1,063 ($1,493) per ounce over the six months to 31 December 2025.

If we assume Evolution had that cost base a year ago, this means the miner's gross margin has surged from US$1,831 a year ago to US$4,017.

So even though gold itself has surged 75.5% over the past 12 months, Evolution's profitability has exploded by almost 120%. This is probably why Evolution was able to declare a record 20-cent-per-share dividend on Wednesday. That dividend represents a whopping 185.7%, or a near-tripling, over the 7 cents per share interim dividend that investors received last year.

At the time of writing, Evolution shares are trading with a trailing dividend yield of 1.25%. However, the new internal dividend, together with last year's final dividend of 13 cents per share, gives Evolution a forward yield of 2.07%. That might not look too significant. But remember, Evolution's 154% gain over the past 12 months has blunted that dividend yield substantially.

If an investor bought this stock a year ago, they will soon be enjoying a yield on cost of 6.36%. Perhaps the gold-dividend game is changing.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Newmont. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Miner panning for gold next to a horse in the outdoors.
Gold

ASX 200 share leaps 8% as gold rally drives cash pile past $1.1 billion

Gold strength and rising cash lift Regis shares on Wednesday.

Read more »

a woman wearing a sparkly strapless dress leans on a neat stack of six gold bars as she smiles and looks to the side as though she is very happy and protective of her stash. She also has gold fingernails and gold glitter pieces affixed to her cheeks.
Gold

This new billion-dollar ASX gold fund promises broad exposure to the market

These traders think they can find value in the mid-cap gold sector.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

Guess which ASX All Ords gold stock is rocketing 9% today on 'high-grade' results

Investors are piling into this ASX gold stock on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Gold

2 ASX 200 gold stocks jumping higher on major updates today

Investors are piling into these ASX 200 gold stocks on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A little girl wearing a gold crown sulks and pokes her tongue out.
Gold

This beaten-down ASX gold stock just cleared a major hurdle. So why are investors selling?

St Barbara shares are in the red despite locking in funding and construction approval.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Gold

Up 33% in 2 weeks, Northern Star share price surging again today on $500 million news

Investors are piling into Northern Star shares today. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Woman with gold nuggets on her hand.
Gold

Should you buy the dip on gold shares? Expert

Is the sell-off overdone or could gold shares fall further?

Read more »

Man putting golden coins on a board, representing multiple streams of income.
Gold

After new production guidance, how high could this ASX gold stock go?

These shares are looking cheap, Macquarie says.

Read more »