Down 30% this year. Are Block shares finally a buy?

Here's what's ahead for the company over the next 12 months.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Block shares have fallen significantly, down 6.6% in Wednesday lunchtime trade and 18.39% over the past month, despite strong Q3 profit growth and raised 2025 guidance.
  • Although Block reported profit increases for its Cash App and Square services, results fell short of Wall Street expectations, prompting investor sell-offs tied to concerns about credit risk and consumer spending volatility.
  • Despite the downturn, analysts remain optimistic, with a majority issuing strong buy ratings and predicting substantial upside potential, highlighting Block’s robust core business and market share growth.

Block (ASX: XYZ) shares are in the red in Wednesday lunchtime trade. At the time of writing, the shares are down 6.6% are changing hands at $92.06 a piece. The stock has suffered a share price crash over the past month, dragging it down 18.39% for the period. Block shares are now 36.01% lower than this time last year.

A woman sits on a chair smiling as she shops online.

Image source: Getty Images

What has happened to Block shares this year?

There has been no price-sensitive announcement out of the company recently to explain today's share price decline. The downturn is likely a continuation of heavy selling, which followed the company's September quarter results, released in early November.

The US-founded company, best known for providing payment-acquiring and related services to businesses, posted an 18% year-on-year profit increase for Q3. The company's Cash App gross profit was up 24% and its Square gross profit was up 9%. 

The company also boosted its full-year 2025 guidance. Block is now forecasting US$10.243 billion in gross profit for 2025, up 15% from 2024.

While the results look impressive, its sales and earnings figures missed Wall Street's forecasts. And while the company raised its forward guidance for annual gross profits, the improved target wasn't enough to prevent investors from selling up.

Does the latest price crash make for a good buying opportunity?

Some analysts are concerned that the company has exposure to credit risk and could suffer as a result of volatility in consumer spending. 

But it's important to note that Block's core business is strong, and its Square business has continued to grow. 

Commenting on the company's third-quarter results, CEO Jack Dorsey said:

Square GPV growth accelerated to 12% and we gained profitable market share through product innovation and expanded distribution. Cash App gross profit growth accelerated to 24%, and in September we hit 58 million Cash App monthly actives.

This quarter, I want to outline how Square will continue to take market share by being the best platform to help sellers grow, run, and automate their businesses.

Analysts are pretty bullish on Block shares, too. TradingView data shows 2 out of 3 analysts have a strong buy rating on the stock. The maximum target price is $267, which implies a massive potential 188.99% upside for investors at the time of writing. Even the minimum $105 target price represents a potential 13.64% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Block. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Opinions

2 ASX 200 shares I think could beat the market over 10 years

A decade is a long time in the market, but I think these ASX 200 shares have the quality to…

Read more »

Happy couple doing online shopping.
Opinions

Down 17%: Why I'd buy and hold Wesfarmers shares

Bunnings remains the key asset, but I think Wesfarmers has more than one way to create value over time.

Read more »

Opinions

2 top ASX shares to buy and hold for the next decade

I’m backing these investments to deliver big returns!

Read more »

Four girls in festive pink hats are sitting on a hammock and laughing merrily.
Opinions

4 ASX 200 shares I'd buy with $5,000 in June

One of the ASX 200 shares is tipped to climb another 169%!

Read more »

A boy standing on the edge of a cliff peers at a red flag in the distance through binoculars.
Opinions

Brambles shares have been smashed. Is this the support level to watch?

Investors are watching one level after Brambles’ heavy fall.

Read more »

Animated man balancing on a chart with a red and green arrow symbolising volatility.
Opinions

How to invest in ASX shares during such an uncertain period

Uncertainty can make it harder to invest. I won’t let market fear stop me...

Read more »

Woman holding $50 and $20 notes.
Dividend Investing

2 excellent high-yield ASX dividend stocks I'd buy today

These businesses offer excellent passive income.

Read more »

A male doctor wearing a white lab coat shrugs his shoulders and holds his hands up in the air looking confused
Healthcare Shares

Should I buy CSL shares in June?

Here's what I expect from the beaten-down biotech stock next month.

Read more »