Should I buy CSL shares in June?

Here's what I expect from the beaten-down biotech stock next month.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) shares are down again during Thursday lunchtime trade.

At the time of writing, the shares are down around 1% to $98.03 a piece.

May wasn't a good month for the CSL share price. Today's slump means the biotech stock has now fallen around 24% over the past month alone, and is just over 60% lower than a year ago.

Now the question is, have CSL shares now hit the bottom? Or will they tumble even lower in June?

A male doctor wearing a white lab coat shrugs his shoulders and holds his hands up in the air looking confused

Image source: Getty Images

What happened to CSL shares in May?

CSL shares suffered their biggest-ever one-day crash in early-May after the company lowered its FY26 outlook after interim CEO Gordon Naylor completed his 90-day review.

The company now expects FY26 revenue of around US$15.2 billion on a constant currency basis. It also expects NPATA of about US$3.1 billion, excluding restructuring costs and impairments.

The downgrade has come about following several issues. 

CSL noted that in US immunoglobulin, demand is still growing but normalisation of channel inventory is expected to cause a revenue impact of approximately US$300 million. 

In China, the company expects a US$200 million impact from a decline in the market value of albumin. 

Meanwhile a further US$150 million impact from the Middle East conflict, revised HEMGENIX growth, and competition in iron.

Investors were spooked by the downgrade, and it highlighted that the business is facing several issues all at once. 

At the same time, there has also been a broad market rotation away from healthcare-related stocks in 2026. 

ASX healthcare shares have lagged behind most other sectors on the index so far this year as investors reposition themselves towards ASX energy stocks, resources, and defensive assets. 

Should I buy the shares in June?

The good news is that CSL has said its growth initiatives are working. However the company added that the financial benefits will take longer than previously expected.

At the time of writing, analysts consensus is for an upside ahead of the next 12 months, but it's clear that investors can't expect the shares to return to previous levels.

I can't see that the increase will start filtering through as early as the next few months, so some patience is needed. In fact, I'm expecting more downside ahead before the shares start to rebound.

What is clear is that the market needs to readjust its expectations for CSL shares going forward. 

TradingView data shows that sentiment is evenly split. Nine out of 18 analysts have a buy or strong buy rating on the stock, and the other nine rate the shares as a hold.

The average $147.55 target price implies a potential 51% upside at the time of writing. 

That increase would take us back to the valuation the shares were trading at in February this year, which is a far cry from the $300-level see through 2020 to 2024.

Motley Fool contributor Samantha Menzies has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

A man in a business suit holds his hand up to his mouth as though sharing a secret and gives a sly grin.
Healthcare Shares

After CSL's 60% share price crash, insiders are starting to buy

Insiders are buying after a brutal CSL share price fall.

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Healthcare Shares

At under $100 each, Cochlear shares look like a bargain: Here's why

Cochlear Ltd (ASX: COH) shares have now crashed 63% for the year-to-date.

Read more »

A doctor in a white coat makes a heart shape with his hands and holds it over his chest where his heart is placed.
Healthcare Shares

3 ASX 200 shares I'd buy for the future of healthcare

Healthcare investing often requires patience, but I think the sector can produce some excellent long-term winners.

Read more »

A doctor appears shocked as he looks through binoculars on a blue background.
Healthcare Shares

What does a takeover in the US tell us about the value of Telix shares?

Currently there seems to be a steep discount on this stock.

Read more »

A woman sleeps peacefully in bed with a smile on her face as though she is very satisfied about something.
Healthcare Shares

The global obesity drug boom could be bigger than investors realise for this ASX stock

ResMed shares are down in 2026 on GLP-1 fears.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Healthcare Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX 300 share could rise 80%+

The broker believes an impending announcement could put a rocket under this share if it is positive.

Read more »

Medical ASX share price fall represented by worried looking patient awaiting vaccine injection.
Opinions

Under $100, are CSL shares finally too cheap to ignore?

CSL shares are back below $100 after a brutal sell-off.

Read more »

Male doctor in a lab coat working at laptop looking serious.
Healthcare Shares

Here are the latest growth forecasts for the CSL share price

Can this giant produce healthy returns or is there more downside to come?

Read more »