The Coles share price is a buy – brokers

This business has a solid outlook and it's a strong investment idea.

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a woman smiles widely as she leans on her trolley while making her way down a supermarket grocery aisle while holding her mobile telephone.

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Key points

  • Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) shares have risen by 20% in 2025, showcasing strong market performance among leading Australian supermarkets.
  • Analysts have given Coles multiple buy ratings, with an average price target suggesting a further potential rise of 5% or more, bolstered by dividends.
  • Coles is outperforming rivals like Woolworths in sales growth, expanding e-commerce capabilities, and adding new supermarkets, suggesting increased earnings and dividends in FY26.

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price has had a very good 2025 to date, rising by 20%, as the chart below shows.

Coles is one of the leading supermarket businesses in Australia, alongside Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW). Aldi and IGA are some other significant players in the sector.

While Coles is best known for being a supermarket business, it owns or is invested in other businesses such as Coles Liquor, First Choice Liquor Market, Liquorland, Vintage Cellars, Flybuys and Coles Financial Services.

Let's take a look at how popular the supermarket is and why the Coles share price is attractive.

Multiple buy ratings

According to CommSec, there are currently 11 analysts who rate the supermarket business as a buy, which is a very notable level of optimism among experts.

CMC Markets suggests that the average analyst price target on the business is $24.03, which is where the analyst thinks the share price could be in 12 months from the time of the investment call. Therefore, the analysts are collectively implying they believe the Coles share price could rise by more than 5% over the next year, plus dividends.

Impressive performance

Coles is currently doing a very good job of growing sales faster than Woolworths, which is a key sign of which business is doing better at attracting customers.

Coles has worked hard at providing a line-up of own-brand products that customers may want, as well as improving its efficiencies across the business.

In the first few weeks of FY26, Coles reported that supermarket sales revenue increased by another 4.9% (or 7% excluding tobacco). This sales growth was supported by "continued strength in volumes" as it continues to invest in "customer value and experience".

Its e-commerce sales are also benefiting from the investments it's making in its digital offer.

Over the last few years, Coles has invested heavily in its supply chain with both the huge automated distribution centres (ADCs) as well as customer fulfillment centres (CFCs). In FY26, its ADC program will deliver its first full year of annualised benefits. It's on track to deliver improved earnings from the CFC facilities as the volumes continue increasing.

FY26 also won't see any implementation, dual running and transition costs related to its ADCs or CFCs.

Overall, the future looks bright for future earnings growth, including an additional net 10 new supermarkets in FY26.

I expect earnings and dividend growth from the business in FY26, which are useful tailwinds for the Coles share price.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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