Why fuel prices could be quietly powering this ASX car stock higher

But it's not a simple case of "EV demand up, share price up".

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This ASX car stock has been on the move.

Shares in Eagers Automotive Ltd (ASX: APE) have climbed roughly 13% over the past month. That's helped narrow its loss for 2026 to around 3%. Zoom out, however, and the picture looks far stronger, as the ASX auto stock is still up about 36% over the past 12 months.

So what's going on? One driver could be the global fuel crunch and the knock-on effect it's having on electric vehicle demand.

A woman in jeans and a casual jumper leans on her car and looks seriously at her mobile phone while her vehicle is charged at an electic vehicle recharging station.

Image source: Getty Images

Exposure to fast-growing EV brand

Eagers is the largest automotive retail group in Australia. The company owns and operates a large network of new and used motor vehicle dealerships across Australia and New Zealand.

A big driver of Eagers' success has been electric vehicles, particularly BYD. The ASX car stock has been one of the standout performers in the consumer discretionary sector and now operates roughly 80% of BYD dealerships in Australia. That gives it unmatched exposure to one of the fastest-growing EV brands in the country.

Petrol prices push Aussies into EVs

At first glance, the fuel crunch might not seem directly relevant to the rising price of the ASX car stock. After all, Eagers isn't an EV manufacturer. But dig a little deeper, and the link becomes clearer.

Rising petrol prices are pushing more Australians to consider electric vehicles. That shift is accelerating demand for brands like BYD, which has been rapidly gaining traction locally. Importantly, Eagers has exposure to EV sales through its broad dealership network, giving it a front-row seat to this transition.

More customers walking into dealerships to enquire about EVs can translate into higher sales activity. Even if buyers are simply switching from petrol cars to electric models, increased showroom traffic tends to support volumes and sometimes margins too.

And margins matter. When demand outstrips supply, as is currently the case for some EV models, dealers often have greater pricing power. That can reduce the need for discounting and support profitability across new vehicle sales.

Shift in buying behaviour

But before investors get too carried away, it's worth keeping a few caveats in mind.

First, this is largely a shift in buying behaviour rather than a guaranteed surge in total car sales. If consumers are simply swapping petrol vehicles for EVs, the overall volume uplift may be limited.

Second, supply constraints remain a real issue. Strong demand for EVs, including models from BYD, has led to longer wait times. That can delay deliveries and push revenue recognition further out, muting near-term earnings momentum.

Finally, the $7 billion ASX car stock is still a cyclical business. Interest rates, consumer confidence, and access to finance all play a major role in car-buying decisions. Those macro factors can easily outweigh any thematic boost from EV adoption.

Foolish Takeaway

The fuel crisis appears to be providing a helpful tailwind for the ASX car stock by accelerating interest in electric vehicles. But it's not a simple case of "EV demand up, share price up".

For investors, this remains a broad play on automotive demand — with EVs adding an extra layer of momentum rather than defining the entire story.

Motley Fool contributor Marc Van Dinther has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended BYD Company. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Eagers Automotive Ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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