Down 7.3%: Inside Woolworths stock's horror September

Things went from bad to worse for Woolies over September.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Woolworths experienced a 7.3% drop in share price during September, contributing to a total decline of 13.14% in 2025 so far and a fall of over 21% from its 52-week high.
  • The stock's decline is largely attributed to the unfavourable full-year earnings report from August, which included a 12.6% drop in EBIT and a 17.1% fall in net profits, leading to a 21.1% dividend cut.
  • Opinions on future prospects are mixed; some analysts see the current price drop as a buying opportunity, while others advise caution due to the lack of immediate positive catalysts.

The month just gone wasn't a good one for ASX shares on the whole. September saw the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) retreat a not-insignificant 1.4%, descending from 8,973.1 points to the 8,848.8 points it closed at yesterday. But that's nothing compared to what Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) stock endured.

The ASX 200 consumer staples stock just had one of its worst months in years, if we don't include its even more woeful August. At the beginning of September, the Woolworths share price was sitting at $28.80. Yesterday, those same shares closed out the month at just $26.70. That means the Woolworths stock price tanked by 7.3% over the month of September.

Last month's move, plus the further 0.8% drop Woolworths shares have endured so far this Wednesday, put the company down a depressing 13.14% in 2025 to date. The company is also down more than 21% from the 52-week high of $33.76 that we saw in mid-August.

So why did Woolworths stock continue to plummet over September?

A hand holds up a rotten apple in an orchard.

Image source: Getty Images

Why did Woolworths stock tank 7.3% in September?

Well, there wasn't much in the way of significant news out of the company over the month just gone. As such, we can probably conclude that investors continued to lose faith in Woolworths shares in September following the disastrous full-year earnings report that we saw back in late August.

As we covered at the time, these earnings were hard for investors to look through. Woolworths reported a 12.6% drop in earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) for the 12 months to 30 June to $2.75 billion. Net profits after tax were even worse, cratering 17.1% to $1.39 billion.

As a result, Woolworths cut its final dividend for 2025 by 21.1% to 45 cents per share.

Given those numbers, as well as the relatively lofty valuations the company was trading at prior to this report being released, it's arguably no surprise to see the company have such a tough month last month.

However, perhaps things could look up from here. As we've covered recently, there are a few ASX brokers who think the big falls that we've seen for Woolworths stock could make it a compelling buying opportunity. Last month, my Fool colleague looked at the views of Red Leaf Securities. This broker stated that "the [Woolworths] share price offers an attractive entry point into a defensive staple with long term growth levers and reliable shareholder returns".

Saying that, this view is not universally shared. Other brokers, Bell Potter, for example, have warned investors to stay away, at least for now. That's given the alleged lack of any positive catalysts for the company in the foreseeable future.

Let's see how this blue-chip stock goes this October.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A man in a business suit peers through binoculars as two businesswomen stand beside him looking straight ahead at the camera.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Buy, hold, sell: Woolworths, Elders, Wesfarmers shares

Only one is expected to experience a share price increase over the next 12 months.

Read more »

A gavel on the table at court as hands gesticulate behind it.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Domino's Pizza Enterprises faces court ruling in class action earnings update

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises faces ongoing uncertainty after a Federal Court ruling in its wage class action case.

Read more »

Two business people face off across the boardroom table.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Accent Group: Takeover bid extension announced

Accent Group shares are in focus after the Frasers Group extended its takeover offer, providing shareholders more time to respond.

Read more »

Accountant woman counting an Australian money and using calculator for calculating dividend yield.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for Woolworths shares

Should dividend investors go shopping for Woolworths shares?

Read more »

A photo of a young couple who are purchasing fruits and vegetables at a market shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles vs. Woolworths. Which ASX consumer staples stock is the best buy?

Coles or Woolworths: The ASX supermarket showdown.

Read more »

cat using a laptop
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles ends talks for Greencross acquisition

Coles has announced it will not proceed with acquiring Greencross Pet Wellness Company, ending discussions and reaffirming its disciplined approach.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Is this beaten-down ASX software stock hiding a dividend winner?

A growing global business may be hiding behind the market’s pessimism.

Read more »

Friend enjoying a meal at a restaurant, symbolising passive income.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Treasury Wine Estates shares rebound 39% from 12-year low: Can they keep going?

The ASX wine stock suffered multiple headwinds through 2025.

Read more »