5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

It looks set to be another positive session today. Here's what's to watch.

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On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was on form again and raced higher. The benchmark index rose 0.7% to 8,737.2 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to rise

The Australian share market looks set to edge higher on Thursday following a strong night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 5 points higher this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 1.15%, the S&P 500 rose 0.8%, and the Nasdaq pushed 0.6% higher.

Oil prices rise

ASX 200 energy shares such as Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a decent session after oil prices edged higher overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 0.2% to US$66.45 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 0.2% to US$68.69 a barrel. Trade talk optimism gave oil prices a boost.

Lynas update

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) shares will also be on watch today when the rare earths producer releases its second quarter update. According to a note out of Macquarie, its analysts are expecting the company to report a solid performance for the quarter. The broker said: "We expect solid LYC results with higher sales (+6%) and revenue (+8%); we forecast ILU's Z/R/SR to beat (+8%), and a miss on Ilmenite."

Gold price tumbles

It could be a tough session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) on Thursday after the gold price tumbled overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is down 1.25% to US$3,400.4 an ounce. This was driven by optimism that the US and EU could strike a trade deal soon.

Buy Paladin Energy shares

The Paladin Energy Ltd (ASX: PDN) share price is good value according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has reaffirmed its buy rating on the uranium producer's shares with a price target of $8.70. In response to its quarterly update, it said: "The modelled impact of lower production in FY26 and higher costs see's an EBITDA decline of ~US$34m in FY26 on our numbers. The stock closed down 11% (A$360m in market cap). Comparing these two we concur that the reaction was overdone. Our TP declines to $8.70 and we retain our Buy recommendation."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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