5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Tuesday

A better session is expected for Aussie investors today.

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On Monday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) started the week with a disappointing decline. The benchmark index fell 1% to 8,668.2 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Tuesday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to recover

The Australian share market looks set for a better day on Tuesday after a decent start to the week on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is poised to open the day 12 points or 0.15% higher. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down slightly, but the S&P 500 rose 0.15% and the Nasdaq pushed 0.4% higher.

Hold Regis Resources shares

Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL) shares are fair value now according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its hold rating on the gold miner's shares with a trimmed price target of $4.60. It said: "We remain attracted to RRL's all-Australian, multi-mine asset portfolio, its demonstrated leverage to the gold price, highly competitive cash generation and its fully unhedged, debt free position. Lower free cash flow in FY26 contributes to a 5% cut to our NPV-based target price, now $4.60/sh. We maintain our Hold recommendation."

Oil prices fall

It could be a subdued session for ASX 200 energy shares Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) after oil prices fell overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 0.45% to US$67.04 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 0.3% to US$69.05 a barrel. Traders were selling oil after seeing little impact from EU sanctions on Russian supply.

BHP shares downgraded

The team at Macquarie is no longer feeling bullish about BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares. In response to the release of its quarterly update, the broker has downgraded the mining giant's shares to a neutral rating (from outperform) with an improved price target of $41.00 (from $40.00). Macquarie appears somewhat disappointed with the cost blowout at the Jansen Potash Project.

Gold price storms higher

ASX 200 gold shares including Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Ramelius Resources Ltd (ASX: RMS) could have a good session after the gold price stormed higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 1.6% to US$3,411.2 an ounce. The precious metal hit a five-week high after the US dollar and bond yields eased.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BHP Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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