2 ASX shares I'm avoiding in today's uncertain market

I wouldn't touch these two stocks if you paid me right now.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's been a glorious month for ASX shares, and investors, so far this June. Back on 11 June, the index finally clocked a new all-time record high, its first since February.

It capped off an extraordinary two months, which have seen the ASX 200 rise nearly 17% from the lows we saw in April following the rather chaotic 'Liberation Day' tariff announcements out of the United States.

Today, the ASX 200 is sitting a little below that record high, currently at 8,558.6 points. With the markets near record levels, it's a great time to be invested in ASX shares. I'm sure there are more than a few happy and satisfied investors out there right now, despite the geopolitical and economic uncertainty still present in global markets.

However, it's a less rosy time for those investors who might want to start buying ASX shares, or at least want to buy more. With the index at near-record levels, so too are many popular ASX 200 shares.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) stock is the poster child for this, with CBA clocking its 23rd record of 2025 of $192 a share just this morning.

But we've also seen others rise to either multi-year or all-time highs in recent months. These range from National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), to Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL), and Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS).

As many investors know, the higher a company's share price is relative to its earnings, the lower the likelihood of expected returns. So with that in mind, here are two ASX shares that I'm avoiding in today's elevated market.

A young woman with tattoos puts both thumbs down and scrunches her face.

Image source: Getty Images

2 ASX shares I'm avoiding right now

First, let's talk about the Commonwealth Bank. As we've already established, this bank stock looks unassailable right now after rising by more than 24% in 2025.

However, this rise leaves investors highly vulnerable, in my view. We've long discussed how most ASX experts regard CBA shares as grossly overvalued. The bank has risen a whopping 94% or so since only October last year. That's despite stagnant earnings growth and a price tag that makes it one of, if not the, most expensive bank in the world. Buying CBA today will get an investor a dividend yield of under 2.5%.

That means if you wish to buy the bank right now and beat the market over the long term, most of your returns will need to come from further share price appreciation. Now, that's possible, of course, as all things in the market are. But I wouldn't be banking on it, if you'll pardon the pun.

Another stock to steer clear of

Next up, let's discuss energy stock Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS). Woodside shares have been on a bit of a rollercoaster ride in recent weeks, thanks mostly to the volatile situation in the Middle East. Woodside shares, despite losing almost 15% of their value over the past 12 months, have rallied strongly (about 25%) since early April.

Investors who think this oil and gas producer might have further to run could be mistaken, though, at least in my view. Despite the potential for supply shocks in the coming weeks, it's my view that oil prices will continue to fall, as has been the trend for a few years now. If that does happen, don't expect Woodside shares to go anywhere fast.

Given the uncertainty for fossil fuels in the decades ahead, I think investors are best off looking elsewhere for returns. That's despite the allure of Woodside's apparent 7.8% dividend yield today.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in National Australia Bank, Telstra Group, and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group and Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

A man in a business suit covers his face with his hands as he stands under a storm cloud emitting heavy rain on top of him.
Opinions

5 tips to navigate ASX share market volatility

Hint: Avoid panic selling!

Read more »

A woman puts money in her piggy bank all rugged up for the winter cold.
Opinions

2 ASX shares I'd buy in June

Check out these winter warmers!

Read more »

Three business people look stressed as they contemplate stacks of extra paperwork.
Opinions

2 ASX 200 shares I'd buy and 1 I'd sell this month

These are the ASX 200 shares on my radar this month.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Opinions

2 ASX 200 shares I think could beat the market over 10 years

A decade is a long time in the market, but I think these ASX 200 shares have the quality to…

Read more »

Happy couple doing online shopping.
Opinions

Down 17%: Why I'd buy and hold Wesfarmers shares

Bunnings remains the key asset, but I think Wesfarmers has more than one way to create value over time.

Read more »

Opinions

2 top ASX shares to buy and hold for the next decade

I’m backing these investments to deliver big returns!

Read more »

Four girls in festive pink hats are sitting on a hammock and laughing merrily.
Opinions

4 ASX 200 shares I'd buy with $5,000 in June

One of the ASX 200 shares is tipped to climb another 169%!

Read more »

A boy standing on the edge of a cliff peers at a red flag in the distance through binoculars.
Opinions

Brambles shares have been smashed. Is this the support level to watch?

Investors are watching one level after Brambles’ heavy fall.

Read more »