3 reasons to buy this soaring ASX 200 gold stock today

The ASX 200 gold stock has soared 108% in a year, and this leading expert forecasts more outperformance to come.

| More on:
An older female ASX investor holds a gangster-style fist pump pose showing off gold rings with dollar signs on them.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) gold stock Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) has enjoyed a stellar run over the past 12 months.

How stellar?

Well, despite slipping 2.5% today to $6.20 a share, the Evolution Mining share price is up a whopping 108% since this time last year. And that doesn't include the 12 cents per share in fully franked dividends the miner has paid out (or shortly will pay out) over the full year.

Evolution Mining shares have enjoyed strong tailwinds on several fronts.

First, is the fast-rising gold price, which has set multiple new record highs over the year.

Twelve months ago, the gold price stood at US$2,035 per ounce. Today, that same ounce is trading for US$2,927, up 44%.

The ASX 200 gold stock has also grabbed investor interest with strong gold and copper production growth, as evidenced by its recent record-breaking half-year results.

And according to Daylight Financial Group's Elio D'Amato, who has a buy recommendation on Evolution Mining shares, the Aussie gold miner is well-placed to keep outshining the market (courtesy of The Bull).

Bright outlook for this fast-rising ASX 200 gold stock

The first reason D'Amato is bullish on the ASX 200 gold stock is the strong half-year results it reported on 12 February.

"The gold miner smashed expectations in its first half fiscal year 2025 result," he said.

According to D'Amato:

Revenue of more than $2 billion was up 52% on the prior corresponding period. Record underlying profit after tax of $385 million rose 144% and earnings per share of 18.4 cents increased by 251%.

Group cash flow surged by 420% and the fully franked dividend jumped 250% to 7 cents a share. Gold production increased by 22%, copper by 36% and gearing fell to 23%.

The second reason he's optimistic on Evolution Mining shares is that the miner appears on track to meet its full-year FY 2025 guidance.

"The company reaffirmed full year guidance and expects operating cash flow to exceed $2 billion," he said.

And the third reason this ASX 200 gold stock is a buy is its growing passive income potential.

The latest, fully franked interim dividend of 7 cents per share was up 250% from last year's interim dividend of 2 cents per share. And D'Amato expects investors could see further passive income growth from here.

"If gold prices stay high and costs remain under control, the dividend should also keep climbing," D'Amato said.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Gold

Why is this ASX 200 gold stock crashing 8%?

What is weighing on this gold miner today? Let's find out.

Read more »

rising gold share price with with an arrow and word gold
Gold

Gold has now outperformed the S&P 500 since 2000

The performance of different assets in the last 25 years shows a surprising leader in the clubhouse. 

Read more »

Piles of gold and silver bars.
Gold

What is the gold-silver ratio telling us?

The gold-silver ratio is clear on which metal is cheap right now.

Read more »

A woman blowing gold glitter out of her hands with a joyous smile on her face.
Gold

Big news: Gold hits fresh record of US$3,020 an ounce

It was another huge day for gold investors...

Read more »

rising gold share price represented by a green arrow on piles of gold block
Record Highs

This ASX 200 gold stock just surged to new all-time highs! Here's why

Investors just sent the ASX 200 gold miner rocketing to new record highs. But why?

Read more »

ETF written in yellow gold.
Gold

3 ASX ETFs to bet on gold

Buying gold ETFs is a lot easier than buying bullion.

Read more »

a man wearing a gold shirt smiles widely as he is engulfed in a shower of gold confetti falling from the sky. representing a new gold discovery by ASX mining share OzAurum Resources
Gold

ASX gold stocks make big moves on 'transformational' merger

These gold miners are merging with the aim of creating a 500,000 ounces a year producer down the line.

Read more »

Woman holding gold bar and cheering.
Gold

Why this ASX 200 gold share is up 10% in a week

It hasn’t been a bad week for all ASX shareholders.

Read more »