Gold plunges to a 1-year low, triggering global sell-off. Time to buy gold or miners?

Has gold lost its shine, or is today's sell-off a golden opportunity?

Investing in gold has been one of the most fruitful trades in recent years. 

Up until recently, gold beat both the S&P 500 and ASX 200 on most short and medium-term timeframes.

Unprecedented demand from central banks around the world, lower interest rates, geopolitical conflict, and a weaker US dollar, sent the gold price to an all-time high of US$5,379 per ounce in January.

Despite retreating from this level, gold remains ahead of both the S&P 500 and ASX 200 over the past 5 years. Since November 2021, the precious metal has risen more than 125%. This still handedly beats the S&P 500's 61% gain and ASX 200's 20% gain. 

However, gold has now fallen firmly behind these indices on a one year basis.

Last week, gold plummeted to US$3,885.70 a troy ounce. This was its lowest level since 3 October 2025. It's now down around 30% since its peak.

The cause? Persistently high energy prices and inflation, which strengthened expectations of another US interest rate hike. 

Higher interest rates have driven bond yields higher. In early October, the US 10-year bond yield surged to a 24-year high of 5.36%, pulling back below the 5% threshold. 

In Australia, the 10-year bond hit 5.4%, and currently sits at around 5.2%.

Higher interest rates (and bond yields) spell bad news for gold investors. Since gold pays no interest, it becomes a far less attractive investment.

Last week, artificial intelligence spending concerns also triggered a sharp sell-off in equities, giving investors another excuse to sell stocks and buy bonds.

Gold bars on top of coins.

Image source: Getty Images

Gold miners crater

In last Friday's overnight trade, major US gold miners Barrick Mining Corporation (NYSE: B) and Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) suffered a beating in response, falling 4.3% and 4.6% respectively. 

This morning, the ASX followed suit with the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (XGD) opening approximately 2% lower.

Major ASX miners Northern Star Ltd (ASX: NST), Newmont Corporation CDI (ASX: NEM), which is dual-listed, and Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) fell even further.

Newmont was the hardest hit, falling 3.5%, while Northern Star and Evolution Mining, are down 3% at the time of writing. 

So, has gold lost its shine, or is this sell-off a golden opportunity?

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