5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

Will the market be able to end the week on a high? Let's find out.

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Thursday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a positive session and charged higher. The benchmark index rose 0.4% to 8,223 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Friday and end the week on a high? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to fall on Friday following a poor session in the United States. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open 30 points or 0.35% lower this morning. In late trade on Wall Street, the Dow Jones is down 0.35%, the S&P 500 is down 0.3%, and the Nasdaq is 0.15% lower. This followed the release of modestly higher than expected inflation data in the United States.

Oil prices jump

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX: KAR) could have a good finish to the week after oil prices jumped overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is up 3.6% to US$75.87 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is up 3.7% to US$79.41 a barrel. This was driven by concerns over supply impacts from the US storm and tensions in the Middle East.

Sell Guzman Y Gomez shares

Analysts at Goldman Sachs believe that investors should be selling Guzman Y Gomez Ltd (ASX: GYG) shares. In response to the quick service restaurant operator's first quarter update, the broker has retained its sell rating and $33.20 price target. It notes that "store openings off to a slower start in Aus for FY25." And while Guzman Y Gomez's FY 2025 forecasts have been maintained, Goldman points out that "consensus (and GSe) forecasts continue to highlight the expectation of FY25 results to beat prospectus numbers."

Gold price rises

ASX 200 gold shares Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a positive finish to the week after the gold price pushed higher overnight. According to CNBC, the gold futures price is up 0.75% to US$2,645.9 an ounce. This was driven by traders adding to bets that the US Federal Reserve will deliver an interest rate cut next month after the jobless rate increased.

Buy Regis Resources shares

Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL) shares could be good value according to analysts at Bell Potter. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the gold miner's shares with an improved price target of $2.48 (from $2.02). It said: "RRL is a multi-mine gold producer with an all-Australian asset portfolio. We forecast free cash flow growth in FY25 and for RRL to benefit from a rising gold price. We retain our Buy recommendation."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

a woman with lots of shopping bags looks upwards towards the sky as if she is pondering something.
Opinions

The pros and cons of buying Zip shares in 2026

There are positive and negative aspects about Zip shares right now…

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: CBA, REA Group, and Xero shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular stocks. Let's see if it is bullish on them.

Read more »

A man in a suit looks serious while discussing business dealings with a couple as they sit around a computer at a desk in a bank home lending scenario.
Share Market News

Here's what Westpac says the RBA will do with interest rates in 2026

Stick or twist? Let's see what the RBA could do with rates this year.

Read more »

A woman stretches her arms into the sky as she rises above the crowd.
Best Shares

Fastest rising ASX 200 share of each market sector in 2025

These shares outperformed their sector peers last year.

Read more »

A couple stares at the tv in shock, with the man holding the remote up ready to press a button.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Aristocrat, James Hardie, and TechnologyOne shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these popular shares. Is it bullish, bearish, or something in between?

Read more »

Group of entrepreneurs feeling frustrated during a meeting in the office. Focus is on man with headache.
Share Fallers

5 worst ASX All Ords shares of 2025, and why brokers rate 4 of them a buy

The ASX All Ords rose by 7.11% in 2025 but as always, there were losers in the pack.

Read more »

A female soldier flies a drone using hand-held controls.
Best Shares

These 5 ASX All Ords shares were the fastest risers of 2025

The ASX All Ords rose by 7.11% and delivered total returns, including dividends, of 10.56% in 2025.

Read more »